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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Ladebäck

Sirius

U T S T S

3–4

Full-time

Malmo FF

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,7

4,2

Scored

2,0

2,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 55%

36%

73%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

64%

73%

Both score Ø 49%

50%

47%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,11 xG 2,95

41% Possession 59%

7 Shots 26

6 Shots on target 13

0 Blocked shots 5

9 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 10

3 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 9. · Malmo FF 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	15	11	2	2	+28	+12.8	35
2	Djurgarden	14	10	1	3	+16	+0.7	31
3	Mjallby	15	9	2	4	+9	+1.0	29
4	Hacken	15	7	2	6	+1	-2.4	23
5	Elfsborg	15	7	1	7	+6	+2.6	22
6	Hammarby	14	7	1	6	+5	+0.7	22
7	GAIS	14	7	1	6	-3	-2.5	22
8	AIK	14	6	2	6	-4	+1.1	20
9	Sirius	14	5	3	6	+0	+3.5	18
10	Brommapojkarna	14	4	6	4	-4	+1.5	18
11	Halmstad	14	6	0	8	-7	-2.9	18
12	Varnamo	14	5	2	7	-3	-5.3	17
13	Goteborg	14	5	2	7	-7	-3.0	17
14	Kalmar	14	4	1	9	-11	-5.1	13
15	Vasteras SK	14	3	2	9	-6	+3.0	11
16	Norrkoping	14	3	2	9	-20	-5.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	7	7	0	0	+19	+5.5	21
2	Mjallby	9	6	2	1	+8	+0.7	20
3	Elfsborg	7	5	1	1	+13	+2.4	16
4	Djurgarden	8	5	1	2	+4	-2.1	16
5	GAIS	7	5	1	1	+4	+1.0	16
6	AIK	7	5	0	2	+9	+2.1	15
7	Hammarby	7	5	0	2	+8	+0.2	15
8	Hacken	8	4	1	3	+3	-1.7	13
9	Halmstad	7	4	0	3	+4	+1.0	12
10	Sirius	7	3	2	2	+5	+3.5	11
11	Vasteras SK	8	2	1	5	-5	+1.9	7
12	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-5	-3.6	7
13	Brommapojkarna	6	1	3	2	-7	-0.4	6
14	Norrkoping	6	2	0	4	-8	-3.2	6
15	Kalmar	7	1	1	5	-5	-1.4	4
16	Varnamo	7	1	1	5	-8	-2.5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	6	5	0	1	+12	+2.8	15
2	Malmo FF	8	4	2	2	+9	+7.3	14
3	Varnamo	7	4	1	2	+5	-2.8	13
4	Brommapojkarna	8	3	3	2	+3	+1.8	12
5	Goteborg	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.6	10
6	Hacken	7	3	1	3	-2	-0.7	10
7	Mjallby	6	3	0	3	+1	+0.4	9
8	Kalmar	7	3	0	4	-6	-3.7	9
9	Hammarby	7	2	1	4	-3	+0.5	7
10	Sirius	7	2	1	4	-5	-0.0	7
11	Elfsborg	8	2	0	6	-7	+0.2	6
12	GAIS	7	2	0	5	-7	-3.5	6
13	Halmstad	7	2	0	5	-11	-3.9	6
14	Norrkoping	8	1	2	5	-12	-2.3	5
15	AIK	7	1	2	4	-13	-1.0	5
16	Vasteras SK	6	1	1	4	-1	+1.1	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.