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Allsvenskan

Referee: F Klitte

Hammarby

S T S T S

3–0

Full-time

Sirius

T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 40%

50%

30%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

90%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

70%

40%

Average goals

3,0

2,4

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hammarby 7. · Sirius 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	11	9	1	1	+24	+12.5	28
2	Djurgarden	11	8	1	2	+16	+0.8	25
3	GAIS	11	7	0	4	+3	-0.3	21
4	Mjallby	11	5	2	4	+5	+1.0	17
5	Hacken	11	5	2	4	+0	-2.2	17
6	Elfsborg	11	5	1	5	+3	+2.6	16
7	Hammarby	10	5	0	5	+0	+1.2	15
8	Halmstad	11	5	0	6	-6	-4.1	15
9	AIK	10	4	2	4	-4	-2.5	14
10	Brommapojkarna	10	3	4	3	-2	+2.3	13
11	Sirius	10	3	3	4	-2	+1.4	12
12	Goteborg	10	3	2	5	-4	-1.7	11
13	Varnamo	10	3	2	5	-7	-4.8	11
14	Norrkoping	10	3	2	5	-9	-3.6	11
15	Kalmar	11	3	1	7	-7	-5.0	10
16	Vasteras SK	10	1	1	8	-10	+2.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	5	5	0	0	+14	+5.5	15
2	GAIS	6	5	0	1	+4	+1.0	15
3	Elfsborg	6	4	1	1	+10	+2.4	13
4	Djurgarden	6	4	1	1	+6	-2.1	13
5	AIK	5	4	0	1	+7	-0.3	12
6	Hammarby	5	4	0	1	+6	+1.2	12
7	Mjallby	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.7	11
8	Hacken	6	3	1	2	+2	-1.4	10
9	Halmstad	5	3	0	2	+1	-0.2	9
10	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	-2	-3.2	6
11	Sirius	5	1	2	2	-1	+1.5	5
12	Brommapojkarna	5	1	2	2	-7	-0.1	5
13	Kalmar	5	1	1	3	+0	-1.4	4
14	Goteborg	5	1	1	3	-6	-3.6	4
15	Vasteras SK	5	1	0	4	-5	+1.9	3
16	Varnamo	5	0	1	4	-9	-2.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	6	4	1	1	+10	+7.0	13
2	Djurgarden	5	4	0	1	+10	+2.8	12
3	Varnamo	5	3	1	1	+2	-2.4	10
4	Brommapojkarna	5	2	2	1	+5	+2.4	8
5	Goteborg	5	2	1	2	+2	+1.9	7
6	Sirius	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.0	7
7	Hacken	5	2	1	2	-2	-0.7	7
8	Mjallby	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.3	6
9	GAIS	5	2	0	3	-1	-1.3	6
10	Kalmar	6	2	0	4	-7	-3.7	6
11	Halmstad	6	2	0	4	-7	-3.9	6
12	Norrkoping	6	1	2	3	-7	-0.3	5
13	Hammarby	5	1	0	4	-6	–	3
14	Elfsborg	5	1	0	4	-7	+0.2	3
15	AIK	5	0	2	3	-11	-2.2	2
16	Vasteras SK	5	0	1	4	-5	+0.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.