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Allsvenskan

Referee: Victor Wolf

Elfsborg

S S S S S

0–2

Full-time

Hammarby

U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Hammarby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 66%

73%

58%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

55%

42%

Both score Ø 44%

45%

42%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,80 xG 1,55

31% Possession 69%

11 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 8

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 3. · Hammarby 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	12	8	3	1	+14	+0.8	27
2	AIK	12	7	5	0	+8	+1.0	26
3	Elfsborg	11	8	1	2	+12	+6.5	25
4	Hammarby	12	7	3	2	+12	+7.7	24
5	Malmo FF	12	5	4	3	+6	+8.7	19
6	Goteborg	11	5	1	5	-2	-0.0	16
7	GAIS	11	3	6	2	+2	+3.4	15
8	Hacken	11	4	3	4	-1	+1.5	15
9	Djurgarden	11	4	3	4	-5	-1.0	15
10	Norrkoping	11	4	2	5	+0	-4.1	14
11	Degerfors	11	4	1	6	-4	-1.0	13
12	Brommapojkarna	11	3	1	7	-4	+0.4	10
13	Halmstad	11	3	1	7	-15	-8.4	10
14	Sirius	11	2	3	6	-5	-6.1	9
15	Oster	11	2	2	7	-7	-5.0	8
16	Varnamo	11	0	3	8	-11	-4.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	6	5	1	0	+10	+2.8	16
2	Hammarby	7	5	1	1	+9	+6.9	16
3	Mjallby	5	4	1	0	+7	+1.4	13
4	Malmo FF	6	3	2	1	+5	+4.6	11
5	AIK	5	3	2	0	+4	+1.9	11
6	GAIS	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.7	8
7	Hacken	6	2	2	2	+0	+3.3	8
8	Norrkoping	6	2	1	3	+0	+0.2	7
9	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-1	+1.2	7
10	Djurgarden	6	1	3	2	-2	-1.2	6
11	Halmstad	6	2	0	4	-9	-4.9	6
12	Sirius	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.0	4
13	Oster	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.1	4
14	Degerfors	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.1	4
15	Brommapojkarna	5	1	0	4	-4	+0.5	3
16	Varnamo	6	0	2	4	-5	-2.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	7	4	3	0	+4	-1.0	15
2	Mjallby	7	4	2	1	+7	-0.7	14
3	Elfsborg	5	3	0	2	+2	+3.7	9
4	Degerfors	6	3	0	3	+1	+2.1	9
5	Goteborg	5	3	0	2	-1	-1.2	9
6	Djurgarden	5	3	0	2	-3	+0.2	9
7	Hammarby	5	2	2	1	+3	+0.8	8
8	Malmo FF	6	2	2	2	+1	+4.2	8
9	Norrkoping	5	2	1	2	+0	-4.4	7
10	Brommapojkarna	6	2	1	3	+0	-0.1	7
11	GAIS	6	1	4	1	+0	+0.8	7
12	Hacken	5	2	1	2	-1	-1.8	7
13	Sirius	6	1	2	3	-2	-6.2	5
14	Oster	6	1	1	4	-4	-1.9	4
15	Halmstad	5	1	1	3	-6	-3.5	4
16	Varnamo	5	0	1	4	-6	-2.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.