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Europa League
Referee: Enea Jorgji
Plzen
T S T S U
3–0
Full-time
Malmo FF
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plzen Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,17 xG 0,36
59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 2

Match report

Plzen Malmo FF
10′
🟨 Anders Christiansen
16′
🔁 A. Djuric
↦ P. Jansson
18′
🟨 Lasse Berg Johnsen
Sampson Dweh 🟨
23′
27′
🔁 D. T. Gudjohnsen
↦ A. Christiansen
1–0 M. Vydra ⚽
A. Memic
34′
38′
🟨 Lasse Berg Johnsen
38′
🟥 Lasse Berg Johnsen
2–0 R. Durosinmi ⚽
M. Vydra
44′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 O. Berg
↦ E. Ekong
3–0 K. Spacil ⚽
M. Vydra
53′
Merchas Doski ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
56′
Merchas Doski 🟥
57′
T. Ladra 🔁
↦ R. Durosinmi
64′
C. Souare 🔁
↦ D. Visinsky
64′
A. Zeljkovic 🔁
↦ M. Valenta
64′
68′
🟨 Colin Rösler
Václav Jemelka 🟨
69′
P. Adu 🔁
↦ M. Vydra
77′
77′
🔁 S. Soumah
↦ A. Skogmar
77′
🔁 K. Busuladzic
↦ O. Rosengren
M. Havel 🔁
↦ A. Memic
80′
88′
ℹ️ Kenan Busuladzic
VAR: Penalty cancelled
95′
🟥 Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen
95′
ℹ️ Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen
VAR: Card upgrade
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Plzen

3-4-3
23 M. Jedlicka G
40 S. Dweh D
21 V. Jemelka D
5 K. Spacil D
99 A. Memic M
32 M. Valenta M
6 L. Cerv M
14 M. Doski M
11 M. Vydra F
17 R. Durosinmi F
9 D. Visinsky F
Bench (10)
13 M. Tvrdon
44 F. Wiegele
7 C. Kabongo
18 T. Ladra
19 C. Souare
22 J. Paluska
24 M. Havel
72 J. Bello
80 P. Adu
85 A. Zeljkovic

Coach: Miroslav Koubek

Malmo FF

4-4-2
30 R. Olsen G
17 J. Stryger D
18 P. Jansson D
19 C. Rosler D
25 Busanello D
37 A. Skogmar M
7 O. Rosengren M
23 L. Johnsen M
38 H. Bolin M
11 E. Ekong F
10 A. Christiansen F
Bench (12)
27 J. Dahlin
33 M. Ellborg
2 J. Karlsson
5 A. Djuric
6 O. Lewicki
8 A. Sigurdsson
13 M. Olsson
15 S. Soumah
16 O. Berg
21 S. Holmquist
32 D. T. Gudjohnsen
40 K. Busuladzic

Coach: Henrik Per-Erik Rydström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.