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Allsvenskan

Referee: Granit Maqedonci

Sirius

S T S T T

5–1

Full-time

Malmo FF

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,8

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

2,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 36%

28%

44%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

68%

48%

Both score Ø 62%

76%

48%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,9

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,24 xG 2,18

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 22

5 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 10

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 13. · Malmo FF 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	26	19	6	1	+30	+5.1	63
2	Hammarby	26	16	4	6	+25	+18.3	52
3	GAIS	26	12	9	5	+13	+14.0	45
4	AIK	26	12	8	6	+7	+7.2	44
5	Goteborg	26	14	2	10	+5	+2.4	44
6	Malmo FF	25	11	9	5	+16	+14.5	42
7	Djurgarden	26	11	9	6	+15	+5.9	42
8	Elfsborg	26	11	4	11	+0	-1.9	37
9	Brommapojkarna	25	9	2	14	-1	-3.0	29
10	Hacken	25	8	5	12	-9	+3.3	29
11	Norrkoping	26	8	5	13	-11	-11.9	29
12	Halmstad	26	8	4	14	-26	-12.8	28
13	Sirius	25	7	5	13	-9	-1.0	26
14	Oster	26	6	7	13	-12	-14.7	25
15	Degerfors	26	6	5	15	-21	-6.6	23
16	Varnamo	26	3	6	17	-22	-18.8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	13	10	1	2	+20	+14.2	31
2	Mjallby	13	9	4	0	+15	+6.7	31
3	AIK	13	7	5	1	+11	+5.4	26
4	GAIS	13	7	3	3	+7	+9.9	24
5	Malmo FF	13	6	4	3	+8	+10.6	22
6	Djurgarden	13	5	6	2	+10	+5.3	21
7	Elfsborg	13	6	3	4	+5	+1.1	21
8	Goteborg	13	6	1	6	+3	+1.8	19
9	Halmstad	13	5	2	6	-10	-5.6	17
10	Norrkoping	13	5	1	7	-5	-1.3	16
11	Sirius	12	4	2	6	+0	+2.0	14
12	Hacken	13	4	2	7	-6	+5.7	14
13	Brommapojkarna	12	4	0	8	-3	-0.4	12
14	Oster	13	3	3	7	-5	-6.2	12
15	Varnamo	13	2	4	7	-9	-7.8	10
16	Degerfors	13	1	4	8	-14	-1.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	13	10	2	1	+15	-1.6	32
2	Goteborg	13	8	1	4	+2	+0.6	25
3	GAIS	13	5	6	2	+6	+4.1	21
4	Hammarby	13	6	3	4	+5	+4.1	21
5	Djurgarden	13	6	3	4	+5	+0.6	21
6	Malmo FF	12	5	5	2	+8	+3.9	20
7	AIK	13	5	3	5	-4	+1.9	18
8	Brommapojkarna	13	5	2	6	+2	-2.6	17
9	Elfsborg	13	5	1	7	-5	-3.0	16
10	Degerfors	13	5	1	7	-7	-5.6	16
11	Hacken	12	4	3	5	-3	-2.4	15
12	Norrkoping	13	3	4	6	-6	-10.6	13
13	Oster	13	3	4	6	-7	-8.6	13
14	Sirius	13	3	3	7	-9	-3.0	12
15	Halmstad	13	3	2	8	-16	-7.2	11
16	Varnamo	13	1	2	10	-13	-11.0	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.