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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Rakow

S S S S U

1–0

Full-time

Piast Gliwice

U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Piast Gliwice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,3

This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 47%

72%

22%

Points per game

2,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

56%

33%

Both score Ø 45%

39%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,1

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

9 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 1. · Piast Gliwice 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	18	13	3	2	+23	42
2	Legia	18	10	5	3	+6	35
3	Widzew Lodz	19	9	4	6	+5	31
4	Lech Poznan	18	8	6	4	+5	30
5	Pogon Szczecin	18	8	6	4	+4	30
6	Cracovia	18	8	4	6	+8	28
7	Wisla Plock	18	8	4	6	+4	28
8	Stal Mielec	18	8	4	6	+3	28
9	Warta Poznan	18	7	5	6	+2	26
10	Radomiak Radom	18	7	3	8	-2	24
11	Slask Wroclaw	18	5	6	7	-8	21
12	Jagiellonia	19	4	8	7	-1	20
13	Gornik Zabrze	18	5	5	8	-4	20
14	Lechia Gdansk	18	6	2	10	-11	20
15	Zaglebie	18	5	5	8	-11	20
16	Piast Gliwice	18	4	5	9	-4	17
17	Legnica	18	3	5	10	-9	14
18	Korona Kielce	18	3	4	11	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	9	8	1	0	+18	25
2	Legia	9	7	2	0	+9	23
3	Wisla Plock	8	6	1	1	+9	19
4	Cracovia	10	5	2	3	+7	17
5	Stal Mielec	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Widzew Lodz	10	4	3	3	+3	15
7	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	+3	15
8	Jagiellonia	9	4	1	4	+3	13
9	Lech Poznan	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	4	3	-3	13
11	Lechia Gdansk	9	3	2	4	-6	11
12	Radomiak Radom	9	3	1	5	-2	10
13	Legnica	10	2	4	4	-4	10
14	Piast Gliwice	9	2	2	5	-1	8
15	Gornik Zabrze	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Warta Poznan	9	1	4	4	-5	7
17	Zaglebie	9	1	4	4	-6	7
18	Korona Kielce	8	1	2	5	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Warta Poznan	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Lech Poznan	9	4	5	0	+6	17
3	Rakow	9	5	2	2	+5	17
4	Widzew Lodz	9	5	1	3	+2	16
5	Pogon Szczecin	10	4	3	3	+1	15
6	Radomiak Radom	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Stal Mielec	9	4	1	4	-2	13
8	Zaglebie	9	4	1	4	-5	13
9	Gornik Zabrze	9	3	3	3	+1	12
10	Legia	9	3	3	3	-3	12
11	Cracovia	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Piast Gliwice	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Wisla Plock	10	2	3	5	-5	9
14	Lechia Gdansk	9	3	0	6	-5	9
15	Slask Wroclaw	8	2	2	4	-5	8
16	Korona Kielce	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Jagiellonia	10	0	7	3	-4	7
18	Legnica	8	1	1	6	-5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.