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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
Lechia Gdansk
S S S T U
1–3
Full-time
Piast Gliwice
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Piast Gliwice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 23%
27%
19%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
73%
31%
Both score Ø 46%
47%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
18 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 6
18 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 15. · Piast Gliwice 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 17 13 2 2 +23 41
2 Legia 16 9 4 3 +5 31
3 Widzew Lodz 17 9 2 6 +5 29
4 Pogon Szczecin 17 8 5 4 +4 29
5 Wisla Plock 17 8 4 5 +5 28
6 Lech Poznan 16 8 4 4 +5 28
7 Stal Mielec 17 8 3 6 +3 27
8 Cracovia 17 7 4 6 +6 25
9 Warta Poznan 17 7 4 6 +2 25
10 Radomiak Radom 17 7 2 8 -2 23
11 Gornik Zabrze 16 5 5 6 -1 20
12 Slask Wroclaw 16 5 5 6 -5 20
13 Jagiellonia 17 4 6 7 -1 18
14 Zaglebie 17 4 5 8 -14 17
15 Lechia Gdansk 15 4 2 9 -11 14
16 Piast Gliwice 16 3 4 9 -6 13
17 Korona Kielce 17 3 4 10 -9 13
18 Legnica 16 3 3 10 -9 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lechia Gdansk Piast Gliwice
43′
D. Kuciak 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
60′
ℹ️ Damian Kądzior
VAR: Penalty awarded
F. Koperski 🔁
↦ D. Stec
63′
M. Terrazzino 🔁
↦ Flávio Paixão
63′
63′
P. Dziczek 1–1
67′
🔁 T. Hateley
↦ G. Kirejczyk
J. Kałuziński 🔁
↦ M. Gajos
72′
B. Diabaté 🔁
↦ Conrado
72′
82′
🔁 A. Pyrka
↦ G. Tomasiewicz
82′
🔁 Jorge Félix
↦ D. Kądzior
84′
🟨 Michał Chrapek
2–1 M. Nalepa
86′
97′
M. Chrapek 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Lechia Gdansk

4-2-3-1
12 D. Kuciak G
29 D. Stec D
25 M. Nalepa D
23 M. Maloča D
2 R. Pietrzak D
7 M. Gajos M
6 J. Kubicki M
99 İ. Durmuş M
28 Flávio Paixão M
20 Conrado M
9 L. Zwoliński F
Bench (9)
72 F. Koperski
33 M. Terrazzino
88 J. Kałuziński
10 B. Diabaté
11 D. Piła
17 C. Clemens
3 H. Castegren
1 M. Buchalik
77 T. Neugebauer

Coach: M. Kaczmarek

Piast Gliwice

4-2-3-1
26 F. Plach G
22 T. Mokwa D
2 A. Mosór D
4 J. Czerwiński D
14 J. Holúbek D
16 P. Dziczek M
6 M. Chrapek M
19 M. Ameyaw M
20 G. Tomasiewicz M
92 D. Kądzior M
27 G. Kirejczyk F
Bench (8)
24 T. Hateley
77 A. Pyrka
7 Jorge Félix
28 M. Kaput
18 K. Wilczek
33 K. Szymański
3 Miguel Muñoz
11 R. Sappinen

Coach: A. Vukovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Frankowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.