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Bundesliga
Referee: B Dankert
Bochum
S S S T T
5–2
Full-time
Hoffenheim
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
28%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
72%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
2,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,68 xG 0,89
47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 10
11 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 16. · Hoffenheim 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 18 10 7 1 +36 +1.4 37
2 Union Berlin 18 11 3 4 +9 +2.9 36
3 RB Leipzig 18 10 5 3 +15 +1.4 35
4 Dortmund 18 11 1 6 +8 +0.6 34
5 Freiburg 18 10 4 4 +4 -0.2 34
6 Ein Frankfurt 18 9 5 4 +11 -3.4 32
7 Wolfsburg 18 8 5 5 +14 +3.5 29
8 M'gladbach 18 7 4 7 +5 -1.8 25
9 Leverkusen 19 7 3 9 -1 +2.6 24
10 Werder Bremen 18 7 3 8 -8 -1.9 24
11 Mainz 18 6 5 7 -3 -0.3 23
12 FC Koln 18 5 7 6 -2 +1.4 22
13 Augsburg 19 6 3 10 -9 -0.5 21
14 Hoffenheim 18 5 4 9 -5 -0.5 19
15 Stuttgart 18 3 7 8 -10 -0.1 16
16 Bochum 18 5 1 12 -25 -0.8 16
17 Hertha 18 3 5 10 -12 -4.1 14
18 Schalke 04 18 2 4 12 -27 -0.4 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Hoffenheim
1–0 P. Hofmann
C. Antwi-Adjei
22′
2–0 P. Förster
C. Antwi-Adjei
30′
3–0 T. Asano
C. Antwi-Adjei
40′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 S. Rudy
↦ D. Geiger
46′
🔁 A. Kramarić
↦ T. Bischof
46′
🔁 M. Dabbur
↦ I. Bebou
46′
🔁 E. Bičakčić
↦ O. Kabak
49′
C. Baumgartner 3–1
Angeliño
Philipp Hofmann 🟨
54′
56′
🟨 Christoph Baumgartner
56′
🟨 Sebastian Rudy
Philipp Förster 🟨
59′
4–1 E. Mašović
P. Förster
69′
K. Schlotterbeck 🔁
↦ P. Förster
74′
M. Broschinski 🔁
↦ P. Hofmann
74′
77′
M. Dabbur 4–2
79′
🔁 A. Stiller
↦ T. Delaney
5–2 M. Broschinski
A. Losilla
83′
J. Osei-Tutu 🔁
↦ C. Antwi-Adjei
84′
S. Zoller 🔁
↦ T. Asano
84′
P. Osterhage 🔁
↦ K. Stöger
87′
90′
🟨 Munas Dabbur
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Bochum

4-2-3-1
1 M. Riemann G
23 S. Janko D
20 I. Ordets D
4 E. Mašović D
3 Danilo Soares D
8 A. Losilla M
7 K. Stöger M
11 T. Asano M
10 P. Förster M
22 C. Antwi-Adjei M
33 P. Hofmann F
Bench (9)
31 K. Schlotterbeck
29 M. Broschinski
18 J. Osei-Tutu
9 S. Zoller
6 P. Osterhage
17 G. Holtmann
26 M. Johansson
16 K. Stafylidis
28 P. Kunde

Coach: T. Letsch

Hoffenheim

3-4-1-2
1 O. Baumann G
5 O. Kabak D
23 J. Brooks D
34 S. Nsoki D
14 C. Baumgartner M
8 D. Geiger M
17 T. Delaney M
11 Angeliño M
39 T. Bischof F
9 I. Bebou F
19 K. Dolberg F
Bench (9)
16 S. Rudy
27 A. Kramarić
10 M. Dabbur
4 E. Bičakčić
13 A. Stiller
20 F. Becker
25 K. Akpoguma
40 U. Tohumcu
12 P. Pentke

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,77
U
3,59
B
2,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,19
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Dankert · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.