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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Raczkowski

Jagiellonia

T U U S U

1–2

Full-time

Rakow

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Rakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,7

1,5

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

This season — Ekstraklasa · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 48%

24%

71%

Points per game

1,1

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

43%

48%

Both score Ø 48%

62%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

1,3

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

10 Shots 21

5 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 12

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 12. · Rakow 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	21	15	4	2	+26	49
2	Legia	21	12	6	3	+8	42
3	Lech Poznan	21	10	6	5	+6	36
4	Widzew Lodz	21	10	5	6	+6	35
5	Pogon Szczecin	21	9	6	6	+2	33
6	Cracovia	21	9	5	7	+8	32
7	Stal Mielec	21	8	5	8	+1	29
8	Radomiak Radom	21	8	5	8	-1	29
9	Wisla Plock	20	8	4	8	+2	28
10	Warta Poznan	20	7	6	7	+0	27
11	Slask Wroclaw	21	6	7	8	-7	25
12	Jagiellonia	21	5	9	7	+1	24
13	Zaglebie	21	6	5	10	-13	23
14	Gornik Zabrze	21	5	7	9	-6	22
15	Lechia Gdansk	21	6	4	11	-12	22
16	Piast Gliwice	21	5	5	11	-4	20
17	Korona Kielce	21	5	5	11	-8	20
18	Legnica	21	4	6	11	-9	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	11	10	1	0	+21	31
2	Legia	10	7	3	0	+9	24
3	Cracovia	11	6	2	3	+8	20
4	Wisla Plock	9	6	1	2	+8	19
5	Widzew Lodz	11	5	3	3	+4	18
6	Pogon Szczecin	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Jagiellonia	10	5	1	4	+5	16
8	Stal Mielec	10	4	4	2	+5	16
9	Lech Poznan	11	5	1	5	-1	16
10	Radomiak Radom	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	Slask Wroclaw	11	3	5	3	-3	14
12	Legnica	11	3	4	4	-3	13
13	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	3	4	-6	12
14	Korona Kielce	10	3	2	5	-2	11
15	Gornik Zabrze	11	2	4	5	-5	10
16	Piast Gliwice	10	2	2	6	-2	8
17	Warta Poznan	10	1	5	4	-5	8
18	Zaglebie	11	1	4	6	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	10	5	5	0	+7	20
2	Warta Poznan	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	Rakow	10	5	3	2	+5	18
4	Legia	11	5	3	3	-1	18
5	Widzew Lodz	10	5	2	3	+2	17
6	Zaglebie	10	5	1	4	-4	16
7	Radomiak Radom	10	4	3	3	+0	15
8	Pogon Szczecin	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Stal Mielec	11	4	1	6	-4	13
10	Cracovia	10	3	3	4	+0	12
11	Gornik Zabrze	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Piast Gliwice	11	3	3	5	-2	12
13	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	1	7	-6	10
15	Wisla Plock	11	2	3	6	-6	9
16	Korona Kielce	11	2	3	6	-6	9
17	Jagiellonia	11	0	8	3	-4	8
18	Legnica	10	1	2	7	-6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.