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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Jagiellonia

T T T U U

2–0

Full-time

Pogon Szczecin

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Pogon Szczecin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 32%

21%

42%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

47%

68%

Both score Ø 74%

68%

79%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

7 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 8

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

6 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 14. · Pogon Szczecin 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	20	14	4	2	+24	46
2	Legia	19	11	5	3	+7	38
3	Lech Poznan	20	10	6	4	+7	36
4	Widzew Lodz	20	9	5	6	+5	32
5	Pogon Szczecin	19	8	6	5	+2	30
6	Stal Mielec	20	8	5	7	+2	29
7	Cracovia	19	8	4	7	+7	28
8	Wisla Plock	19	8	4	7	+3	28
9	Radomiak Radom	19	8	3	8	-1	27
10	Warta Poznan	18	7	5	6	+2	26
11	Slask Wroclaw	20	6	7	7	-6	25
12	Lechia Gdansk	20	6	4	10	-11	22
13	Gornik Zabrze	19	5	6	8	-4	21
14	Jagiellonia	19	4	8	7	-1	20
15	Zaglebie	19	5	5	9	-12	20
16	Piast Gliwice	19	4	5	10	-5	17
17	Korona Kielce	20	4	5	11	-9	17
18	Legnica	19	3	5	11	-10	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	10	9	1	0	+19	28
2	Legia	9	7	2	0	+9	23
3	Wisla Plock	9	6	1	2	+8	19
4	Cracovia	10	5	2	3	+7	17
5	Stal Mielec	10	4	4	2	+5	16
6	Lech Poznan	10	5	1	4	+0	16
7	Widzew Lodz	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Pogon Szczecin	9	4	3	2	+1	15
9	Slask Wroclaw	11	3	5	3	-3	14
10	Jagiellonia	9	4	1	4	+3	13
11	Radomiak Radom	10	4	1	5	-1	13
12	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	3	4	-6	12
13	Legnica	10	2	4	4	-4	10
14	Gornik Zabrze	10	2	3	5	-5	9
15	Piast Gliwice	9	2	2	5	-1	8
16	Korona Kielce	9	2	2	5	-3	8
17	Warta Poznan	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Zaglebie	10	1	4	5	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	10	5	5	0	+7	20
2	Warta Poznan	9	6	1	2	+7	19
3	Rakow	10	5	3	2	+5	18
4	Widzew Lodz	10	5	2	3	+2	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	10	4	3	3	+1	15
6	Legia	10	4	3	3	-2	15
7	Radomiak Radom	9	4	2	3	+0	14
8	Stal Mielec	10	4	1	5	-3	13
9	Zaglebie	9	4	1	4	-5	13
10	Gornik Zabrze	9	3	3	3	+1	12
11	Cracovia	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Slask Wroclaw	9	3	2	4	-3	11
13	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	1	6	-5	10
14	Piast Gliwice	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Wisla Plock	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Korona Kielce	11	2	3	6	-6	9
17	Jagiellonia	10	0	7	3	-4	7
18	Legnica	9	1	1	7	-6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.