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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Raczkowski
Rakow
U S S S S
4–1
Full-time
Slask Wroclaw
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Slask Wroclaw
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 52%
74%
30%
Points per game
2,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
48%
39%
Both score Ø 44%
35%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rakow 1. · Slask Wroclaw 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 23 17 4 2 +29 55
2 Legia 23 13 7 3 +9 46
3 Lech Poznan 23 11 6 6 +10 39
4 Widzew Lodz 23 10 6 7 +4 36
5 Pogon Szczecin 23 10 6 7 +1 36
6 Cracovia 23 9 6 8 +7 33
7 Warta Poznan 23 9 6 8 +5 33
8 Radomiak Radom 23 9 5 9 +0 32
9 Wisla Plock 23 9 4 10 +1 31
10 Stal Mielec 23 8 5 10 -2 29
11 Slask Wroclaw 23 7 8 8 -6 29
12 Zaglebie 23 8 5 10 -11 29
13 Piast Gliwice 23 7 5 11 -1 26
14 Jagiellonia 23 5 10 8 +0 25
15 Gornik Zabrze 23 6 7 10 -6 25
16 Lechia Gdansk 24 7 4 13 -15 25
17 Korona Kielce 23 6 5 12 -11 23
18 Legnica 24 4 7 13 -14 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rakow Slask Wroclaw
1–0 V. Kochergin
B. Nowak
36′
42′
🟨 Mateusz Stawny
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Ivi López
M. Rundić
49′
Ivi López ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
52′
Fran Tudor 🟨
53′
3–0 B. Nowak
Jean Carlos
55′
56′
🔁 Víctor García
↦ A. Łyszczarz
56′
🔁 J. Yeboah
↦ D. Jastrzembski
4–0 Ivi López
V. Kochergin
62′
M. Cebula 🔁
↦ V. Gutkovskis
65′
68′
J. Yeboah 4–1
Víctor García
Marcin Cebula 🟨
69′
G. Berggren 🔁
↦ V. Kochergin
78′
M. Wdowiak 🔁
↦ B. Nowak
78′
80′
🔁 P. Szwedzik
↦ Diogo Verdasca
S. Musiolik 🔁
↦ Ivi López
81′
B. Racovițan 🔁
↦ Jean Carlos
82′
Ben Lederman 🟨
89′
89′
🔁 Ł. Gerstenstein
↦ M. Konczkowski
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-2-1
1 V. Kovačević G
4 S. Svarnas D
24 Z. Arsenić D
3 M. Rundić D
7 F. Tudor M
8 B. Lederman M
30 V. Kochergin M
20 Jean Carlos M
27 B. Nowak F
11 Ivi López F
21 V. Gutkovskis F
Bench (7)
77 M. Cebula
5 G. Berggren
17 M. Wdowiak
9 S. Musiolik
25 B. Racovițan
12 K. Trelowski
18 A. Gryszkiewicz

Coach: M. Papszun

Slask Wroclaw

5-3-2
12 R. Leszczyński G
27 M. Konczkowski D
2 Diogo Verdasca D
40 M. Stawny D
6 D. Grétarsson D
4 Ł. Bejger D
28 M. Rzuchowski M
15 Nahuel Leiva M
33 A. Łyszczarz M
11 D. Jastrzembski F
9 Erik Expósito F
Bench (8)
23 Víctor García
7 J. Yeboah
21 P. Szwedzik
32 Ł. Gerstenstein
1 M. Szromnik
10 Caye Quintana
24 P. Samiec-Talar
41 O. Wypart

Coach: I. Đurđević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Raczkowski · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.