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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Pogon Szczecin

U T T S S

0–2

Full-time

Rakow

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Rakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 59%

45%

73%

Points per game

1,6

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

64%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

73%

36%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

1,5

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

10 Shots 4

2 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 5. · Rakow 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	22	16	4	2	+27	52
2	Legia	23	13	7	3	+9	46
3	Lech Poznan	23	11	6	6	+10	39
4	Widzew Lodz	23	10	6	7	+4	36
5	Pogon Szczecin	22	10	6	6	+3	36
6	Warta Poznan	22	9	6	7	+6	33
7	Cracovia	22	9	5	8	+7	32
8	Radomiak Radom	22	9	5	8	+1	32
9	Stal Mielec	23	8	5	10	-2	29
10	Wisla Plock	22	8	4	10	+0	28
11	Slask Wroclaw	22	7	7	8	-6	28
12	Piast Gliwice	23	7	5	11	-1	26
13	Zaglebie	22	7	5	10	-12	26
14	Jagiellonia	23	5	10	8	+0	25
15	Gornik Zabrze	23	6	7	10	-6	25
16	Korona Kielce	23	6	5	12	-11	23
17	Lechia Gdansk	23	6	4	13	-19	22
18	Legnica	23	4	7	12	-10	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	11	10	1	0	+21	31
2	Legia	11	7	4	0	+9	25
3	Cracovia	11	6	2	3	+8	20
4	Wisla Plock	10	6	1	3	+7	19
5	Lech Poznan	12	6	1	5	+4	19
6	Pogon Szczecin	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Widzew Lodz	12	5	3	4	+2	18
8	Slask Wroclaw	12	4	5	3	-2	17
9	Jagiellonia	11	5	1	5	+4	16
10	Stal Mielec	12	4	4	4	+2	16
11	Radomiak Radom	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Korona Kielce	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Legnica	12	3	5	4	-3	14
14	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	3	5	-8	12
15	Warta Poznan	11	2	5	4	-1	11
16	Piast Gliwice	11	3	2	6	-1	11
17	Gornik Zabrze	12	2	4	6	-6	10
18	Zaglebie	12	2	4	6	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Warta Poznan	11	7	1	3	+7	22
2	Rakow	11	6	3	2	+6	21
3	Legia	12	6	3	3	+0	21
4	Lech Poznan	11	5	5	1	+6	20
5	Radomiak Radom	11	5	3	3	+2	18
6	Widzew Lodz	11	5	3	3	+2	18
7	Pogon Szczecin	12	5	3	4	+0	18
8	Zaglebie	10	5	1	4	-4	16
9	Gornik Zabrze	11	4	3	4	+0	15
10	Piast Gliwice	12	4	3	5	+0	15
11	Stal Mielec	11	4	1	6	-4	13
12	Cracovia	11	3	3	5	-1	12
13	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Lechia Gdansk	12	3	1	8	-11	10
15	Jagiellonia	12	0	9	3	-4	9
16	Wisla Plock	12	2	3	7	-7	9
17	Korona Kielce	12	2	3	7	-10	9
18	Legnica	11	1	2	8	-7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.