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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
Slask Wroclaw
U T S U T
2–1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slask Wroclaw Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 39%
29%
48%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
38%
43%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
43%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
8 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Slask Wroclaw 12. · Lech Poznan 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 22 16 4 2 +27 52
2 Legia 22 12 7 3 +8 43
3 Widzew Lodz 22 10 6 6 +6 36
4 Lech Poznan 21 10 6 5 +6 36
5 Pogon Szczecin 22 10 6 6 +3 36
6 Cracovia 22 9 5 8 +7 32
7 Radomiak Radom 22 9 5 8 +1 32
8 Warta Poznan 21 8 6 7 +4 30
9 Stal Mielec 22 8 5 9 +0 29
10 Wisla Plock 21 8 4 9 +1 28
11 Gornik Zabrze 22 6 7 9 -5 25
12 Slask Wroclaw 21 6 7 8 -7 25
13 Jagiellonia 22 5 9 8 +0 24
14 Piast Gliwice 22 6 5 11 -3 23
15 Zaglebie 21 6 5 10 -13 23
16 Lechia Gdansk 22 6 4 12 -14 22
17 Korona Kielce 22 5 5 12 -12 20
18 Legnica 21 4 6 11 -9 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Slask Wroclaw Lech Poznan
31′
ℹ️ Radosław Murawski
VAR: Card upgrade
33′
🟥 Radosław Murawski
1–0 Erik Expósito
34′
Half-time 1–0
Martin Konczkowski 🟨
49′
2–0 J. Yeboah
57′
62′
🔁 Joel Pereira
↦ A. Czerwiński
Victor Garcia Marin 🟨
66′
67′
🟨 Nika Kvekveskiri
M. Rzuchowski 🔁
↦ A. Bukowski
70′
70′
🔁 João Amaral
↦ G. Tsitaishvili
70′
🔁 Afonso Sousa
↦ F. Marchwiński
Victor Garcia Marin 🟨
72′
Victor Garcia Marin 🟥
72′
Matías Nahuel ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
77′
P. Samiec-Talar 🔁
↦ J. Yeboah
78′
Patrick Olsen 🟨
85′
88′
M. Skóraś 2–1
João Amaral
K. Borys 🔁
↦ Nahuel Leiva
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw

5-4-1
12 R. Leszczyński G
27 M. Konczkowski D
4 Ł. Bejger D
34 K. Poprawa D
6 D. Grétarsson D
23 Víctor García D
7 J. Yeboah M
20 A. Bukowski M
8 P. Olsen M
15 Nahuel Leiva M
9 Erik Expósito F
Bench (9)
28 M. Rzuchowski
24 P. Samiec-Talar
18 K. Borys
33 A. Łyszczarz
11 D. Jastrzembski
32 Ł. Gerstenstein
40 M. Stawny
10 Caye Quintana
1 M. Szromnik

Coach: I. Đurđević

Lech Poznan

4-1-4-1
77 D. Holec G
44 A. Czerwiński D
25 F. Dagerstål D
16 A. Milić D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
30 N. Kvekveskiri M
14 G. Tsitaishvili M
22 R. Murawski M
11 F. Marchwiński M
21 M. Skóraś M
17 F. Szymczak F
Bench (6)
2 Joel Pereira
24 João Amaral
7 Afonso Sousa
50 A. Ba Loua
27 M. Żukowski
35 F. Bednarek

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Frankowski · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.