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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Stefanski

Rakow

S S S U T

0–2

Full-time

Lech Poznan

U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 58%

71%

45%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

48%

Both score Ø 42%

35%

48%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,9

1,4

Conceded

0,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%

4 Shots 13

0 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 1. · Lech Poznan 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	31	22	5	4	+40	71
2	Legia	32	18	9	5	+19	63
3	Pogon Szczecin	32	16	9	7	+8	57
4	Lech Poznan	31	14	10	7	+15	52
5	Piast Gliwice	32	14	7	11	+6	49
6	Warta Poznan	31	12	8	11	+4	44
7	Gornik Zabrze	32	12	8	12	+1	44
8	Cracovia	32	11	9	12	+3	42
9	Widzew Lodz	32	11	8	13	-4	41
10	Zaglebie	32	11	8	13	-11	41
11	Jagiellonia	32	9	13	10	+1	40
12	Stal Mielec	32	10	10	12	-3	40
13	Radomiak Radom	31	10	8	13	-6	38
14	Korona Kielce	32	10	8	14	-9	38
15	Wisla Plock	32	10	7	15	-5	37
16	Slask Wroclaw	32	8	11	13	-13	35
17	Lechia Gdansk	32	7	6	19	-26	27
18	Legnica	32	4	10	18	-20	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	15	14	1	0	+33	43
2	Legia	16	11	5	0	+19	38
3	Pogon Szczecin	16	9	4	3	+6	31
4	Wisla Plock	16	8	4	4	+8	28
5	Jagiellonia	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	Korona Kielce	16	8	3	5	+3	27
7	Cracovia	16	7	5	4	+10	26
8	Lech Poznan	16	8	2	6	+8	26
9	Stal Mielec	16	5	7	4	+3	22
10	Piast Gliwice	16	6	4	6	+2	22
11	Warta Poznan	15	5	6	4	+4	21
12	Slask Wroclaw	16	5	6	5	-2	21
13	Gornik Zabrze	16	5	5	6	-1	20
14	Widzew Lodz	16	5	3	8	-3	18
15	Radomiak Radom	16	4	4	8	-5	16
16	Lechia Gdansk	16	4	4	8	-8	16
17	Legnica	16	3	6	7	-7	15
18	Zaglebie	16	3	5	8	-9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	16	8	4	4	+7	28
2	Piast Gliwice	16	8	3	5	+4	27
3	Zaglebie	16	8	3	5	-2	27
4	Lech Poznan	15	6	8	1	+7	26
5	Pogon Szczecin	16	7	5	4	+2	26
6	Legia	16	7	4	5	+0	25
7	Gornik Zabrze	16	7	3	6	+2	24
8	Warta Poznan	16	7	2	7	+0	23
9	Widzew Lodz	16	6	5	5	-1	23
10	Radomiak Radom	15	6	4	5	-1	22
11	Stal Mielec	16	5	3	8	-6	18
12	Cracovia	16	4	4	8	-7	16
13	Slask Wroclaw	16	3	5	8	-11	14
14	Jagiellonia	16	1	10	5	-7	13
15	Korona Kielce	16	2	5	9	-12	11
16	Lechia Gdansk	16	3	2	11	-18	11
17	Wisla Plock	16	2	3	11	-13	9
18	Legnica	16	1	4	11	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.