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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Kos
Ruch Chorzow
T S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Cracovia
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ruch Chorzow Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 20%
15%
24%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
52%
39%
Both score Ø 52%
55%
48%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 7
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ruch Chorzow 17. · Cracovia 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 33 17 9 7 +29 +16.3 60
2 Slask Wroclaw 33 17 9 7 +18 +8.0 60
3 Legia 33 15 11 7 +11 +9.8 56
4 Lech Poznan 33 14 11 8 +7 -7.1 53
5 Gornik Zabrze 33 15 8 10 +5 -5.7 53
6 Pogon Szczecin 33 15 7 11 +20 +15.2 52
7 Rakow 33 14 10 9 +16 +21.9 52
8 Zaglebie 33 13 8 12 -6 +2.0 47
9 Piast Gliwice 33 9 16 8 +4 +15.3 43
10 Widzew Lodz 33 12 7 14 -3 -1.8 43
11 Stal Mielec 33 11 10 12 -5 -16.6 43
12 Cracovia 33 8 15 10 +1 -0.7 39
13 Radomiak Radom 33 10 8 15 -15 -4.5 38
14 Warta Poznan 33 9 10 14 -7 -11.0 37
15 Puszcza 33 8 13 12 -11 -15.6 37
16 Korona Kielce 33 7 14 12 -5 +1.1 35
17 Ruch Chorzow 33 5 14 14 -17 -9.1 29
18 LKS Lodz 33 5 6 22 -42 -17.5 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ruch Chorzow Cracovia
B. Barański 🔁
↦ T. Foszmańczyk
12′
M. Sadlok 🔁
↦ S. Szymański
37′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Novothny
M. Kozak
49′
58′
🔁 M. Maigaard
↦ P. Makuch
64′
🔁 P. Sokołowski
↦ K. Knap
65′
🔁 C. Râpă
↦ F. Rózga
65′
🔁 T. Oshima
↦ J. Atanasov
Soma Novothny 🟨
71′
71′
🟥 Andreas Skovgaard
M. Feliks 🔁
↦ R. Dadok
77′
M. Bartolewski 🔁
↦ F. Wilak
77′
Ł. Moneta 🔁
↦ M. Kozak
77′
Michał Feliks 🟨
82′
84′
🔁 M. Bochnak
↦ B. Källman
2–0 S. Novothny
M. Feliks
90′
93′
🟨 Patryk Sokołowski
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ruch Chorzow

3-4-3
36 D. Stipica G
59 P. Stępiński D
20 S. Szymański D
6 Josema D
96 R. Dadok M
10 T. Foszmańczyk M
22 F. Starzyński M
5 T. Wójtowicz M
54 F. Wilak F
86 S. Novothny F
70 M. Kozak F
Bench (9)
24 B. Barański
21 M. Sadlok
19 M. Feliks
77 M. Bartolewski
13 Ł. Moneta
33 M. Huras
1 M. Buchalik
27 W. Długosz
18 K. Kwiatkowski

Coach: J. Niedźwiedź

Cracovia

5-4-1
31 L. Hroššo G
63 F. Rózga
5 V. Ghiță D
15 K. Glik D
3 A. Skovgaard D
4 P. Jaroszyński D
7 P. Makuch M
6 J. Atanasov M
20 K. Knap M
10 M. Rakoczy M
9 B. Källman F
Bench (9)
11 M. Maigaard
88 P. Sokołowski
2 C. Râpă
18 T. Oshima
17 M. Bochnak
23 F. Bzdyl
19 D. Ólafsson
13 S. Madejski
33 E. Bitri

Coach: D. Kroczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Kos · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.