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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Kos
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
44%
69%
Both score Ø 63%
44%
81%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
11 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Radomiak Radom 10. · Pogon Szczecin 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 17 13 2 2 +23 41
2 Legia 16 9 4 3 +5 31
3 Widzew Lodz 17 9 2 6 +5 29
4 Wisla Plock 17 8 4 5 +5 28
5 Lech Poznan 16 8 4 4 +5 28
6 Stal Mielec 17 8 3 6 +3 27
7 Pogon Szczecin 16 7 5 4 +3 26
8 Cracovia 17 7 4 6 +6 25
9 Warta Poznan 17 7 4 6 +2 25
10 Radomiak Radom 16 7 2 7 -1 23
11 Gornik Zabrze 16 5 5 6 -1 20
12 Slask Wroclaw 16 5 5 6 -5 20
13 Jagiellonia 17 4 6 7 -1 18
14 Zaglebie 17 4 5 8 -14 17
15 Lechia Gdansk 15 4 2 9 -11 14
16 Piast Gliwice 16 3 4 9 -6 13
17 Korona Kielce 17 3 4 10 -9 13
18 Legnica 16 3 3 10 -9 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Radomiak Radom Pogon Szczecin
Mateusz Cichocki 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
48′
ℹ️ Luka Zahović
VAR: Penalty awarded
Mateusz Cichocki 🟨
50′
Raphael Rossi 🟨
50′
Mateusz Cichocki 🟥
50′
52′
K. Grosicki 0–1
60′
🟨 Mateusz Łęgowski
Luís Machado 🟨
62′
Roberto Alves 🟨
62′
64′
🔁 M. Wędrychowski
↦ M. Łęgowski
1–1 M. Grzybek
Maurides
69′
76′
🔁 S. Kowalczyk
↦ R. Kurzawa
87′
🔁 Luís Mata
↦ Léo Borges
87′
🔁 A. Gorgon
↦ L. Zahovič
87′
🔁 K. Drygas
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
90′
D. Dąbrowski 1–2
M. Wędrychowski
91′
🟨 Damian Dąbrowski
Leândro 🔁
↦ Lisandro Semedo
92′
D. Łukasik 🔁
↦ Luís Machado
92′
D. Sokół 🔁
↦ R. Alves
92′
Raphael Rossi 🟨
97′
Raphael Rossi 🟥
97′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Radomiak Radom

3-4-3
1 G. Kobylak G
3 Pedro Justiniano D
29 Raphael Rossi D
16 M. Cichocki D
14 D. Jakubik M
90 J. Nowakowski M
10 R. Alves M
30 M. Grzybek M
7 Lisandro Semedo F
13 Maurides F
20 Luís Machado F
Bench (9)
9 Leândro
35 D. Łukasik
97 D. Sokół
99 M. Feliks
26 A. Gajgier
5 D. Pawłowski
24 N. Korzeniecki
75 J. Ojrzyński
22 Tiago Matos

Coach: M. Lewandowski

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-3-1
1 D. Stipica G
18 M. Kucharczyk D
23 B. Zech D
33 M. Malec D
4 Léo Borges D
99 M. Łęgowski M
8 D. Dąbrowski M
7 R. Kurzawa M
22 V. Bichakhchyan M
11 K. Grosicki M
10 L. Zahovič F
Bench (9)
15 M. Wędrychowski
27 S. Kowalczyk
97 Luís Mata
20 A. Gorgon
14 K. Drygas
41 P. Stolarski
17 M. Fornalczyk
81 B. Klebaniuk
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Kos · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.