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Ekstraklasa
Referee: M Kochanek
Puszcza
U T T S S
0–1
Full-time
Motor Lublin
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Puszcza Motor Lublin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
23%
41%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
32%
50%
Both score Ø 48%
41%
55%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 17
6 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Puszcza 15. · Motor Lublin 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 23 15 2 6 +25 +9.9 47
2 Rakow 22 12 7 3 +15 +11.6 43
3 Jagiellonia 22 12 6 4 +14 +2.6 42
4 Pogon Szczecin 23 12 3 8 +10 +9.1 39
5 Cracovia 23 10 8 5 +9 -3.3 38
6 Legia 22 10 6 6 +12 +10.2 36
7 Gornik Zabrze 23 10 4 9 +2 +4.0 34
8 Piast Gliwice 23 8 9 6 +4 -1.7 33
9 Motor Lublin 22 9 5 8 -6 -2.7 32
10 GKS Katowice 22 8 6 8 +3 +2.1 30
11 Korona Kielce 23 7 8 8 -8 -4.7 29
12 Widzew Lodz 23 7 6 10 -11 -4.5 27
13 Radomiak Radom 23 7 4 12 -7 +0.7 25
14 Stal Mielec 23 6 5 12 -7 +3.9 23
15 Puszcza 22 5 7 10 -10 -11.6 22
16 Zaglebie 23 6 4 13 -16 -6.1 22
17 Lechia Gdansk 22 5 6 11 -14 -15.3 21
18 Slask Wroclaw 22 2 8 12 -15 -4.3 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Puszcza Motor Lublin
Dawid Abramowicz 🟨
10′
15′
🟨 Arkadiusz Najemski
29′
A. Najemski 0–1
H. Matthys
Georgy Zhukov 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
K. Stępień 🔁
↦ G. Zhukov
46′
46′
🔁 M. Bartoš
↦ A. Najemski
Piotr Mroziński 🟨
50′
A. Klimek 🔁
↦ P. Mroziński
51′
M. Stępień 🔁
↦ K. Stępień
60′
M. Kosidis 🔁
↦ J. Blagaić
61′
67′
🔁 M. Scalet
↦ B. van Hoeven
67′
🔁 M. N'Diaye
↦ K. Çalışkaner
73′
🟨 Herve Matthys
75′
🟨 Mathieu Scalet
79′
🔁 M. Król
↦ P. Ceglarz
82′
🔁 A. Sefer
↦ J. Łabojko
86′
🟨 Marek Kristián Bartoš
Artur Crăciun 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Samuel Mráz
Mateusz Stępień ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
89′
R. Kidrič 🔁
↦ J. Serafin
93′
Dawid Szymonowicz 🟨
99′
Dawid Szymonowicz 🟨
99′
Dawid Szymonowicz 🟥
99′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Puszcza

4-2-3-1
1 K. Komar G
22 A. Crăciun D
4 D. Szymonowicz D
3 R. Yakuba D
8 P. Mroziński D
6 J. Atanasov M
14 J. Serafin M
24 J. Blagaić M
88 G. Zhukov M
33 D. Abramowicz M
63 G. Barkovskiy F
Bench (9)
5 K. Stępień
7 A. Klimek
12 M. Stępień
35 M. Kosidis
45 R. Kidrič
67 I. Revenco
27 Ł. Sołowiej
31 M. Perchel
18 M. Sipľak

Coach: T. Tułacz

Motor Lublin

4-1-4-1
1 K. Rosa G
17 F. Wójcik D
18 A. Najemski D
3 H. Matthys D
47 K. Palacz D
21 J. Łabojko M
19 B. van Hoeven M
68 B. Wolski M
11 K. Çalışkaner M
77 P. Ceglarz M
90 S. Mráz F
Bench (9)
39 M. Bartoš
37 M. Scalet
30 M. N'Diaye
26 M. Król
7 A. Sefer
45 O. Jeż
22 C. Simon
24 F. Luberecki
9 K. Wełniak

Coach: M. Stolarski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Kochanek · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.