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Ekstraklasa
Referee: M Kochanek
Gornik Zabrze
U U S T U
2–1
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,3
4,2
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,23 xG 2,06
53% Possession 47%
21 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Mar -25 Lechia Gdansk – Gornik Zabrze 1–2 1. Sep -24 Gornik Zabrze – Lechia Gdansk 2–3 4. Feb -23 Gornik Zabrze – Lechia Gdansk 1–1 18. Nov -22 Lechia Gdansk – Gornik Zabrze 2–1 18. Apr -22 Gornik Zabrze – Lechia Gdansk 1–3

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Lechia Gdansk
1–0 K. Lukoszek ⚽
T. Tsirigotis
33′
Half-time 1–0
L. Ambros 🔁
↦ Goh Young-Jun
46′
46′
🔁 A. Tsarenko
↦ B. Viunnyk
Rafał Janicki 🟨
47′
2–0 J. Kubicki ⚽
68′
71′
🔁 M. Dyachuk
↦ E. Olsson
71′
🔁 T. Neugebauer
↦ T. Wojtowicz
71′
🔁 D. Kurminowski
↦ T. Bobcek
S. Liseth 🔁
↦ T. Tsirigotis
78′
L. Podolski 🔁
↦ K. Lukoszek
79′
88′
⚽ R. Kapic 2–1
89′
🟨 Matúš Vojtko
89′
🔁 K. Sezonienko
↦ B. Pllana
N. Dziegielewski 🔁
↦ T. Ismaheel
92′
K. Szczesniak 🔁
↦ P. Hellebrand
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

4-1-4-1
1 M. Lubik G
16 P. Olkowski D
26 R. Janicki D
20 Josema D
64 E. Janza D
8 P. Hellebrand M
11 T. Ismaheel M
79 Goh Young-Jun M
14 J. Kubicki M
17 K. Lukoszek M
74 T. Tsirigotis F
Bench (11)
99 T. Loska
5 K. Szczesniak
27 D. Szala
55 M. Pingot
10 L. Podolski
15 R. Massimo
18 L. Ambros
19 N. Dziegielewski
23 S. Liseth
22 A. Abdullahi
28 B. Donio

Coach: Michal Gasparik

Lechia Gdansk

4-4-2
29 B. Sarnavskyi G
16 A. Jaunzems D
4 B. Pllana D
3 E. Olsson D
27 M. Vojtko D
11 C. Mena M
10 R. Kapic M
5 I. Zhelizko M
33 T. Wojtowicz M
89 T. Bobcek F
7 B. Viunnyk F
Bench (11)
1 S. Weirauch
26 B. Brzek
25 M. Dyachuk
23 M. Kalahur
6 K. Wendt
17 A. Tsarenko
21 M. Glogowski
99 T. Neugebauer
72 M. Awad
79 K. Sezonienko
90 D. Kurminowski

Coach: John Carver

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Kochanek · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.