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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Lasyk
5–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,8
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,19 xG 1,30
43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Radomiak Radom Pogon Szczecin
Michał Kaput 🟨
28′
1–0 Capita
B. Jordao
35′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 J. Blasco
B. Jordao
48′
49′
🟨 Danijel Lončar
56′
E. Koulouris 2–1
K. Grosicki
3–1 J. Grzesik
R. Alves
59′
60′
🔁 L. Koutris
↦ Leo Borges
Zie Ouattara 🔁
↦ V. Lopes
68′
72′
🔁 M. Wojciechowski
↦ A. Przyborek
72′
🔁 P. Paryzek
↦ P. Mukairu
Maurides 🔁
↦ A. Tapsoba
74′
R. Wolski 🔁
↦ R. Alves
74′
76′
ℹ️ Efthymis Koulouris
VAR: Goal cancelled
4–1 Maurides
Zie Ouattara
82′
P. Golubickas 🔁
↦ M. Kaput
84′
C. Donis 🔁
↦ Joao Pedro
84′
84′
🔁 J. Bieganski
↦ J. Pozo
84′
🔁 K. Kostorz
↦ F. Ulvestad
5–1 J. Grzesik
R. Wolski
89′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Radomiak Radom

4-2-3-1
1 F. Majchrowicz G
13 J. Grzesik D
74 S. Kingue D
5 J. Blasco D
20 Joao Pedro D
28 M. Kaput M
6 B. Jordao M
7 V. Lopes M
10 R. Alves M
11 Capita M
15 A. Tapsoba F
Bench (12)
44 W. Koptas
75 M. Jerke
2 I. Camara
8 P. Golubickas
9 Leandro
16 M. Cichocki
27 A. Niziolek
24 Zie Ouattara
25 Maurides
38 R. Wolski
77 C. Donis
99 Guilherme

Coach: Goncalo Feio

Pogon Szczecin

4-1-4-1
77 V. Cojocaru G
28 L. Wahlqvist D
22 D. Loncar D
2 M. Huja D
4 Leo Borges D
8 F. Ulvestad M
18 P. Mukairu M
14 J. Pozo M
10 A. Przyborek M
11 K. Grosicki M
9 E. Koulouris F
Bench (11)
31 K. Kaminski
13 D. Keramitsis
17 J. Lis
32 L. Koutris
15 J. Bieganski
61 K. Smolinski
47 N. Lawa
29 M. Bak
35 M. Wojciechowski
20 P. Paryzek
99 K. Kostorz

Coach: Thomas Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Lasyk · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.