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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Raczkowski
Lechia Gdansk
S S T U T
2–1
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
31%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
75%
69%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 16. · Gornik Zabrze 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 17 13 2 2 +23 41
2 Legia 17 9 5 3 +5 32
3 Widzew Lodz 17 9 2 6 +5 29
4 Pogon Szczecin 17 8 5 4 +4 29
5 Wisla Plock 17 8 4 5 +5 28
6 Lech Poznan 16 8 4 4 +5 28
7 Stal Mielec 17 8 3 6 +3 27
8 Cracovia 17 7 4 6 +6 25
9 Warta Poznan 17 7 4 6 +2 25
10 Radomiak Radom 17 7 2 8 -2 23
11 Slask Wroclaw 17 5 6 6 -5 21
12 Gornik Zabrze 16 5 5 6 -1 20
13 Jagiellonia 17 4 6 7 -1 18
14 Zaglebie 17 4 5 8 -14 17
15 Piast Gliwice 17 4 4 9 -4 16
16 Lechia Gdansk 16 4 2 10 -13 14
17 Korona Kielce 17 3 4 10 -9 13
18 Legnica 16 3 3 10 -9 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lechia Gdansk Gornik Zabrze
Rafał Pietrzak ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
13′
Half-time 0–1
46′
E. Bergström 0–1
E. Janža
D. Stec 🔁
↦ F. Koperski
46′
Marco Terrazzino 🟨
51′
L. Zwoliński 🔁
↦ Flávio Paixão
56′
B. Diabaté 🔁
↦ İ. Durmuş
56′
57′
🟨 Richard Jensen
64′
🔁 P. Krawczyk
↦ S. Włodarczyk
66′
🟨 Piotr Krawczyk
D. Piła 🔁
↦ J. Kałuziński
67′
Dušan Kuciak 🟨
73′
76′
🔁 M. Cholewiak
↦ Ł. Podolski
76′
🔁 B. Vrhovec
↦ Dani Pacheco
79′
🟨 Jean Jules Mvondo
1–1 M. Maloča
B. Diabaté
84′
88′
🟨 Erik Janža
91′
🔁 R. Dadok
↦ K. Okunuki
91′
🔁 A. Paluszek
↦ R. Jensen
94′
🟨 Robert Dadok
2–1 L. Zwoliński
M. Nalepa
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lechia Gdansk

4-2-3-1
12 D. Kuciak G
72 F. Koperski D
25 M. Nalepa D
23 M. Maloča D
2 R. Pietrzak D
88 J. Kałuziński M
6 J. Kubicki M
99 İ. Durmuş M
33 M. Terrazzino M
20 Conrado M
28 Flávio Paixão F
Bench (8)
29 D. Stec
9 L. Zwoliński
10 B. Diabaté
11 D. Piła
3 H. Castegren
1 M. Buchalik
17 C. Clemens
4 K. Tobers

Coach: M. Kaczmarek

Gornik Zabrze

3-4-2-1
1 D. Bielica G
5 K. Szcześniak D
13 E. Bergström D
3 R. Jensen D
15 N. Wojtuszek M
7 Dani Pacheco M
23 J. Jules M
64 E. Janža M
20 S. Włodarczyk F
33 K. Okunuki F
10 Ł. Podolski F
Bench (9)
21 P. Krawczyk
11 M. Cholewiak
8 B. Vrhovec
96 R. Dadok
4 A. Paluszek
32 K. Broll
16 P. Olkowski
17 R. Kamber
71 A. Maroša

Coach: B. Gaul

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Raczkowski · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.