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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Mateusz Piszczelok

Motor Lublin

U T U T T

3–0

Full-time

Widzew Lodz

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Widzew Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 30%

18%

42%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

45%

58%

Both score Ø 57%

55%

58%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,18 xG 0,92

46% Possession 54%

16 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

6 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motor Lublin 16. · Widzew Lodz 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	11	7	3	1	+10	+0.6	24
2	Gornik Zabrze	12	7	2	3	+9	-1.3	23
3	Cracovia	11	6	3	2	+8	+4.5	21
4	Wisla Plock	11	6	3	2	+7	+6.4	21
5	Korona Kielce	12	5	4	3	+5	-2.0	19
6	Lech Poznan	11	5	4	2	+2	+6.9	19
7	Zaglebie	12	4	5	3	+7	-1.0	17
8	Widzew Lodz	12	5	1	6	+3	+4.2	16
9	Legia	11	4	3	4	+2	+2.6	15
10	Radomiak Radom	12	4	3	5	+0	-0.8	15
11	Lechia Gdansk	12	4	3	5	-6	-3.0	15
12	Rakow	11	4	2	5	-3	+0.8	14
13	Pogon Szczecin	12	4	2	6	-4	+5.4	14
14	Arka Gdynia	12	3	3	6	-12	-6.0	12
15	GKS Katowice	12	3	2	7	-8	-7.0	11
16	Motor Lublin	11	2	5	4	-8	-3.7	11
17	Nieciecza	13	2	4	7	-8	-1.7	10
18	Piast Gliwice	10	1	4	5	-4	-4.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	7	5	1	1	+7	+5.3	16
2	Jagiellonia	6	5	0	1	+8	+0.6	15
3	Cracovia	6	4	2	0	+6	+4.2	14
4	Radomiak Radom	6	4	1	1	+8	+1.5	13
5	Korona Kielce	6	4	1	1	+7	+1.3	13
6	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+5	+2.1	13
7	Zaglebie	6	3	3	0	+10	+1.9	12
8	Gornik Zabrze	6	4	0	2	+5	+1.7	12
9	Legia	5	3	2	0	+6	+2.3	11
10	Arka Gdynia	5	3	2	0	+3	-2.2	11
11	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	0	2	+2	+4.5	9
12	Lech Poznan	7	2	3	2	-2	+5.0	9
13	Lechia Gdansk	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.1	8
14	GKS Katowice	6	2	1	3	-1	-3.1	7
15	Motor Lublin	5	1	3	1	-2	+0.9	6
16	Rakow	5	1	2	2	+0	+1.6	5
17	Piast Gliwice	5	1	2	2	+0	+0.1	5
18	Nieciecza	6	0	2	4	-7	-1.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	6	3	2	1	+4	-3.0	11
2	Lech Poznan	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.9	10
3	Jagiellonia	5	2	3	0	+2	–	9
4	Rakow	6	3	0	3	-3	-0.8	9
5	Nieciecza	7	2	2	3	-1	-0.6	8
6	Cracovia	5	2	1	2	+2	+0.3	7
7	Lechia Gdansk	7	2	1	4	-8	-4.2	7
8	Korona Kielce	6	1	3	2	-2	-3.4	6
9	Wisla Plock	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.1	5
10	Zaglebie	6	1	2	3	-3	-2.9	5
11	Pogon Szczecin	7	1	2	4	-6	+0.9	5
12	Motor Lublin	6	1	2	3	-6	-4.6	5
13	Legia	6	1	1	4	-4	+0.3	4
14	GKS Katowice	6	1	1	4	-7	-3.8	4
15	Widzew Lodz	5	1	0	4	-2	+2.1	3
16	Piast Gliwice	5	0	2	3	-4	-5.0	2
17	Radomiak Radom	6	0	2	4	-8	-2.3	2
18	Arka Gdynia	7	0	1	6	-15	-3.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.