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Ligue 2
Referee: Thierry Bouille
Pau FC
S S S S U
0–3
Full-time
Dunkerque
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
2,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 11
0 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 2. · Dunkerque 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 10 7 2 1 +11 23
2 Pau FC 10 6 3 1 +8 21
3 St Etienne 10 6 2 2 +8 20
4 Red Star 10 6 2 2 +7 20
5 Reims 10 4 3 3 +1 15
6 Guingamp 10 4 3 3 -3 15
7 Montpellier 10 4 2 4 -1 14
8 Le Mans 10 3 4 3 +0 13
9 Rodez 10 3 4 3 -3 13
10 Amiens 10 3 3 4 -1 12
11 Annecy 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Nancy 10 3 3 4 -2 12
13 Dunkerque 10 2 4 4 +1 10
14 Grenoble 10 2 4 4 -2 10
15 Boulogne 10 3 1 6 -4 10
16 Clermont 10 2 4 4 -5 10
17 Laval 10 1 5 4 -5 8
18 Bastia 10 0 4 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC Dunkerque
5′
E. Bardeli 0–1
O. Sangante
23′
T. Robinet 0–2
M. Essimi
Ousmane Kanté 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–2
N. Glossoa 🔁
↦ J. Kalulu
60′
C. Fall 🔁
↦ R. Touzghar
61′
K. Dong 🔁
↦ O. Sissoko
61′
Ousmane Kanté 🟨
63′
Ousmane Kanté 🟥
63′
67′
E. Bardeli 0–3
M. Essimi
K. Gasnier 🔁
↦ G. Versini
68′
E. Zuliani 🔁
↦ A. Bobichon
68′
73′
🔁 A. Kante
↦ T. Robinet
73′
🔁 A. Daho
↦ M. Essimi
73′
🔁 G. Yassine
↦ A. Zossou
80′
🔁 A. Linguet
↦ A. Georgen
80′
🔁 M. Diop
↦ E. Bardeli
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Pau FC

4-3-3
22 N. Raveyre G
2 T. Pouilly D
19 Kante D
4 S. Karamoko D
3 J. Kalulu D
84 R. Touzghar M
97 D. Meddah M
17 O. Sissoko M
10 G. Versini
7 R. Messi F
14 A. Bobichon F
Bench (7)
30 E. Salles
34 S. Lebouath
6 C. Fall
11 K. Gasnier
87 E. Zuliani
9 K. Dong
26 N. Glossoa

Coach: Nicolas Usaï

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
60 M. Niflore
2 A. Georgen D
26 O. Sangante D
23 V. Sasso D
21 G. Kondo D
6 P. Diong M
10 M. Essimi M
8 A. Sekongo M
20 E. Bardeli M
77 A. Zossou M
9 T. Robinet F
Bench (7)
33 S. K. Tou
27 A. Linguet
30 F. Abner
19 A. Kante
11 A. Daho
18 M. Diop
80 G. Yassine

Coach: Albert Sánchez Saura

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U
3,35
B ✓
3,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,88
U2,5
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.