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Serie B

Referee: Paride Tremolada

Modena

S S U S U

2–1

Full-time

Empoli

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Empoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

63%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

38%

63%

Both score Ø 69%

50%

88%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Modena 1. · Empoli 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	8	5	3	0	+10	18
2	Palermo	8	4	4	0	+6	16
3	Frosinone	8	4	2	2	+5	14
4	Cesena	8	4	2	2	+2	14
5	Monza	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Venezia	8	3	4	1	+5	13
7	Juve Stabia	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Reggiana	8	3	3	2	+2	12
9	Avellino	8	3	3	2	+0	12
10	Carrarese	8	2	5	1	+4	11
11	Padova	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Sudtirol	8	2	4	2	+1	10
13	Empoli	8	2	4	2	-3	10
14	Virtus Entella	8	2	3	3	-2	9
15	Catanzaro	8	0	6	2	-2	6
16	Pescara	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Bari	8	1	3	4	-7	6
18	Sampdoria	8	1	2	5	-5	5
19	Mantova	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Spezia	8	0	3	5	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Venezia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Palermo	5	2	3	0	+3	9
4	Monza	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Reggiana	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Virtus Entella	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Juve Stabia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Avellino	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Empoli	5	1	4	0	+2	7
11	Pescara	5	1	3	1	+2	6
12	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Carrarese	4	1	2	1	+2	5
14	Bari	3	1	2	0	+1	5
15	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	Padova	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Mantova	4	1	1	2	-5	4
18	Catanzaro	4	0	3	1	-1	3
19	Cesena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Spezia	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	5	4	0	1	+3	12
2	Modena	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Padova	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	Carrarese	4	1	3	0	+2	6
7	Monza	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Juve Stabia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Avellino	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Sudtirol	4	0	4	0	+0	4
11	Venezia	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Reggiana	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Catanzaro	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Empoli	3	1	0	2	-5	3
15	Spezia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Mantova	4	0	1	3	-3	1
17	Sampdoria	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Virtus Entella	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Bari	5	0	1	4	-8	1
20	Pescara	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.