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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Arys
Widzew Lodz
U T U S U
0–0
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 38%
32%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,30 xG 0,34
46% Possession 54%
5 Shots 8
0 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Widzew Lodz 17. · Gornik Zabrze 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 26 12 8 6 +9 +20.1 44
2 Zaglebie 26 11 8 7 +10 -4.3 41
3 Jagiellonia 26 11 8 7 +9 -1.1 41
4 Lechia Gdansk 26 11 6 9 +3 +4.0 39
5 Wisla Plock 26 10 9 7 +3 -1.1 39
6 Gornik Zabrze 25 11 5 9 +4 -4.4 38
7 Rakow 25 11 4 10 +2 +7.7 37
8 Motor Lublin 26 9 10 7 -3 -5.6 37
9 Korona Kielce 26 10 6 10 +4 -3.2 36
10 Cracovia 26 9 9 8 +3 +3.1 36
11 GKS Katowice 26 11 3 12 +0 -7.0 36
12 Piast Gliwice 26 10 5 11 -1 -3.6 35
13 Pogon Szczecin 26 10 4 12 -4 +8.4 34
14 Radomiak Radom 26 8 9 9 +2 -1.2 33
15 Arka Gdynia 26 8 6 12 -19 -8.6 30
16 Legia 25 6 11 8 -1 +0.2 29
17 Widzew Lodz 25 8 4 13 -3 +4.9 28
18 Nieciecza 26 5 7 14 -18 -8.2 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Widzew Lodz Gornik Zabrze
Ricardo Visus 🟨
-5′
24′
🟨 Lukáš Sadílek
S. Kozlovsky 🔁
↦ C. Cheng
28′
Half-time 0–0
L. Selahi 🔁
↦ L. Lerager
46′
A. Zeqiri 🔁
↦ S. Bergier
64′
C. Isaac 🔁
↦ M. Krajewski
64′
66′
🔁 Y. Ikia Dimi
↦ O. Zmrzly
76′
🔁 J. Kubicki
↦ L. Sadilek
81′
🔁 B. Domingues
↦ M. Khlan
82′
🔁 P. Bochniewicz
↦ Josema
B. Pawlowski 🔁
↦ F. Alvarez
83′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Widzew Lodz

3-4-3
1 B. Dragowski G
4 M. Zyro D
25 P. Wisniewski D
53 S. Kapuadi D
91 M. Krajewski M
21 L. Lerager M
6 J. Shehu M
17 C. Cheng M
8 E. Kornvig F
99 S. Bergier F
10 F. Alvarez F
Bench (10)
30 V. Ilic
98 M. Kikolski
9 A. Zeqiri
3 S. Kozlovsky
18 L. Selahi
19 B. Pawlowski
2 C. Isaac
22 O. Bukari
7 M. Fornalczyk
14 R. Visus

Coach: Aleksandar Vukovic

Gornik Zabrze

4-3-3
1 M. Lubik G
16 P. Olkowski D
26 R. Janicki D
20 Josema D
64 E. Janza D
13 L. Sadilek M
8 P. Hellebrand M
18 L. Ambros M
33 M. Khlan F
23 S. Liseth F
67 O. Zmrzly F
Bench (12)
99 T. Loska
92 P. Pietryga
4 P. Bochniewicz
14 J. Kubicki
11 B. Domingues
21 M. Sauer
28 B. Donio
15 R. Massimo
5 K. Szczesniak
17 K. Lukoszek
7 Y. Ikia Dimi
77 B. Rupanov

Coach: Michal Gasparik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Arys · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.