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Super League

Referee: T Tzilos

Aris Thessalonikis

U U T U U

0–2

Full-time

OFI Crete

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis OFI Crete

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,8

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 25/27 matches

Win Ø 33%

24%

41%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

28%

74%

Both score Ø 45%

48%

41%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,10 xG 1,41

52% Possession 48%

35 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 4

15 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 10

7 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 8. · OFI Crete 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	27	18	7	2	+38	+8.8	61
2	Olympiakos	27	18	7	2	+35	+9.6	61
3	AEK	27	18	7	2	+30	+8.3	61
4	Panathinaikos	27	14	8	5	+19	+6.8	50
5	Levadeiakos	27	11	8	8	+13	-7.7	41
6	OFI Crete	27	11	2	14	-8	-7.8	35
7	Atromitos	27	7	9	11	-4	-1.6	30
8	Aris Thessalonikis	25	6	12	7	-5	-2.8	30
9	Aris	26	6	12	8	-7	–	30
10	Panetolikos	28	8	5	15	-13	-2.8	29
11	Volos NFC	27	8	5	14	-15	+1.7	29
12	Kifisia	27	6	10	11	-8	-0.8	28
13	Larisa	27	5	10	12	-17	-2.9	25
14	Panserraikos	28	4	7	17	-39	-5.3	19
15	Asteras Tripolis	27	3	9	15	-19	-3.6	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	14	12	2	0	+26	+4.6	38
2	AEK	13	11	1	1	+18	+4.8	34
3	Olympiakos	13	10	2	1	+20	+2.6	32
4	Panathinaikos	14	9	4	1	+17	+3.9	31
5	Levadeiakos	13	7	3	3	+16	-4.0	24
6	OFI Crete	14	7	0	7	+6	-3.8	21
7	Volos NFC	13	4	5	4	-4	+2.9	17
8	Kifisia	14	4	4	6	-2	+0.3	16
9	Aris Thessalonikis	12	2	9	1	+1	+1.7	15
10	Aris	13	2	9	2	-1	–	15
11	Larisa	14	3	6	5	-8	+0.2	15
12	Panetolikos	14	4	1	9	-9	+1.2	13
13	Panserraikos	14	3	3	8	-16	-4.0	12
14	Asteras Tripolis	13	2	5	6	-3	-0.2	11
15	Atromitos	14	2	5	7	-5	+0.1	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	8	5	1	+15	+7.0	29
2	AEK	14	7	6	1	+12	+3.6	27
3	PAOK	13	6	5	2	+12	+4.2	23
4	Panathinaikos	13	5	4	4	+2	+2.8	19
5	Atromitos	13	5	4	4	+1	-1.7	19
6	Levadeiakos	14	4	5	5	-3	-3.7	17
7	Panetolikos	14	4	4	6	-4	-4.0	16
8	Aris Thessalonikis	13	4	3	6	-6	-4.5	15
9	Aris	13	4	3	6	-6	–	15
10	OFI Crete	13	4	2	7	-14	-4.0	14
11	Kifisia	13	2	6	5	-6	-1.1	12
12	Volos NFC	14	4	0	10	-11	-1.3	12
13	Larisa	13	2	4	7	-9	-3.1	10
14	Asteras Tripolis	14	1	4	9	-16	-3.3	7
15	Panserraikos	14	1	4	9	-23	-1.3	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.