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Super League
Referee: V Fotias
AEK
U S S U T
3–0
Full-time
Kifisia
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Kifisia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 45%
67%
22%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
37%
52%
Both score Ø 52%
37%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,23 xG 1,09
57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 3. · Kifisia 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PAOK 27 18 7 2 +38 +8.8 61
2 Olympiakos 27 18 7 2 +35 +9.6 61
3 AEK 27 18 7 2 +30 +8.3 61
4 Panathinaikos 27 14 8 5 +19 +6.8 50
5 Levadeiakos 27 11 8 8 +13 -7.7 41
6 OFI Crete 27 11 2 14 -8 -7.8 35
7 Atromitos 27 7 9 11 -4 -1.6 30
8 Aris Thessalonikis 25 6 12 7 -5 -2.8 30
9 Aris 26 6 12 8 -7 30
10 Panetolikos 28 8 5 15 -13 -2.8 29
11 Volos NFC 27 8 5 14 -15 +1.7 29
12 Kifisia 27 6 10 11 -8 -0.8 28
13 Larisa 27 5 10 12 -17 -2.9 25
14 Panserraikos 28 4 7 17 -39 -5.3 19
15 Asteras Tripolis 27 3 9 15 -19 -3.6 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Kifisia
4′
🟨 Yasser Larouci
1–0 L. Jovic
5′
1–1 A. Petkov
own goal
16′
2–1 B. Varga
S. Pilios
26′
27′
🔁 D. Chouchoumis
↦ Y. Larouci
27′
🔁 C. Nunnely
↦ J. Antonisse
29′
🟨 Diamantis Chouchoumis
Half-time 2–1
Zini 🔁
↦ B. Varga
46′
Stavro Pilo 🟨
47′
58′
🔁 D. Theodoridis
↦ A. Christopoulos
59′
🔁 Bernardo
↦ J. Pombo
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ L. Jovic
62′
M. Gacinovic 🔁
↦ A. Koita
63′
77′
🟨 Konstantinos Roukounakis
M. Grujic 🔁
↦ R. Pereyra
78′
82′
🔁 L. Villafanez
↦ L. Amani
H. Sahabo 🔁
↦ O. Pineda
85′
87′
🟨 Dimitris Theodoridis
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-2-2
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
44 F. Relvas D
3 S. Pilios D
13 O. Pineda M
20 P. Mantalos M
11 A. Koita M
37 R. Pereyra M
9 L. Jovic F
25 B. Varga F
Bench (12)
91 A. Brignoli
19 N. Eliasson
8 M. Gacinovic
7 D. Kutesa
10 Joao Mario
4 M. Grujic
2 H. Moukoudi
23 R. Ljubicic
90 Zini
15 M. Georgiev
17 D. Kaloskamis
80 H. Sahabo

Coach: Marko Nikolic

Kifisia

4-4-2
99 M. Ramirez G
22 C. O. Konate D
38 J. Pokorny D
5 A. Petkov D
76 Y. Larouci D
10 G. Sousa M
88 L. Amani M
17 K. Roukounakis M
7 J. Antonisse M
72 A. Christopoulos F
6 J. Pombo F
Bench (12)
1 V. Xenopoulos
4 A. Botia
33 H. Sousa
2 D. Simon
8 Bernardo
90 P. Mijic
9 D. Theodoridis
21 R. Perez
19 L. Villafanez
3 D. Chouchoumis
11 C. Nunnely
77 Miguel Tavares

Coach: Sebastian Leto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,15
U
6,43
B
14,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.