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Ligue 2
Referee: Ahmed Taleb
St Etienne
T S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Montpellier
U U S S U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
3,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
18 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 1. · Montpellier 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 4 4 0 0 +10 12
2 Annecy 5 3 1 1 +2 10
3 Reims 5 2 3 0 +5 9
4 Metz 5 2 3 0 +4 9
5 Montpellier 4 2 2 0 +2 8
6 Red Star 5 2 2 1 -1 8
7 Nancy 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Rodez 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Sochaux 5 1 3 1 -2 6
10 Dunkerque 5 1 2 2 -1 5
11 Guingamp 5 1 2 2 -1 5
12 Pau FC 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Boulogne 5 0 4 1 -1 4
14 Clermont 5 0 4 1 -2 4
15 Grenoble 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Laval 5 1 1 3 -5 4
17 Dijon 5 0 3 2 -2 3
18 Nantes 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Montpellier
1–0 Maxime Bernauer
Irvin Cardona
41′
42′
🟨 Zoumana Camara
Augustine Boakye 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Augustine Boakye
Tamar Svetlin
49′
50′
Daylam Meddah 2–1
Nordan Mukiele
Ben Old 🔁
↦ Maxime Bernauer
58′
59′
🟨 Naoufel El Hannach
I. Cathro 🟨
60′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
30 G. Larsonneur G
23 K. Pedro D
26 J. Le Cardinal D
18 S. Nair D
6 M. Bernauer D
16 T. Svetlin M
14 Á. Csongvai M
20 A. Boakye M
22 Z. Davitashvili M
8 T. Ballo M
7 I. Cardona F
Bench (9)
31 N. El Jamali
32 Adam Baallal
10 J. Breum
15 Chico Lamba
13 João Ferreira
5 M. Jaber
17 J. Duffus
1 Mamour Ndiaye
11 B. Old

Coach: Ian Cathro

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
31 S. Ngapandouetnbu G
3 Y. El Hannach D
15 J. Laporte D
6 Y. Mouanga D
17 T. Sainte-Luce D
5 F. Tardieu M
32 Hichem Abderrebi M
18 N. Pays M
27 D. Meddah M
19 N. Mukiele M
9 Lacine Megnan-Pave F
Bench (8)
90 Gregory Ayem
23 Daryll Benlahlou
11 M. Camara
44 T. Chennahi
39 J. Hatchi
1 M. Michel
77 Everson
40 N. Vidal-Cartoux

Coach: Z. Camara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,53
U
4,08
B
5,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,20
U1,5
4,40
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
2,63
U3,5
1,46
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,73
BLS nei
2,05

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.