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Premiership

Referee: D McFarlane

Dundee United

U T T S T

1–1

Full-time

Falkirk

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Falkirk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

60%

50%

Both score Ø 35%

20%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

27 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 8

14 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dundee United 9. · Falkirk 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	4	4	0	0	+9	+11.0	12
2	St Mirren	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.0	10
3	Hearts	4	3	0	1	+6	-0.1	9
4	Motherwell	4	2	2	0	+4	+2.4	8
5	Dundee	5	2	1	2	+2	-0.9	7
6	Rangers	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.3	7
7	Hibernian	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.0	6
8	ST Johnstone	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.6	4
9	Dundee United	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.3	4
10	Aberdeen	4	1	0	3	-5	-3.4	3
11	Falkirk	4	0	1	3	-4	-4.4	1
12	Kilmarnock	4	0	0	4	-10	-9.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+5	+6.2	9
2	Hearts	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.1	6
3	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.4	4
4	Dundee	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.8	4
5	St Mirren	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
6	ST Johnstone	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
7	Aberdeen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
8	Dundee United	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.3	1
9	Rangers	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
10	Hibernian	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.6	0
11	Falkirk	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.6	0
12	Kilmarnock	3	0	0	3	-9	-7.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rangers	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
2	St Mirren	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.6	6
3	Hibernian	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.3	6
4	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.0	4
5	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+4	+4.8	3
6	Hearts	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.2	3
7	Dundee	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.6	3
8	Dundee United	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.0	3
9	Falkirk	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.8	1
10	ST Johnstone	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.7	1
11	Kilmarnock	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
12	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.