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Ligue 1

Referee: T Léonard

St Etienne

T T T T S

3–1

Full-time

Montpellier

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

0,3

2,2

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 30%

14%

45%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

59%

55%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

27 Shots 3

8 Shots on target 2

10 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 4

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 20. · Montpellier 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	22	16	5	1	+28	53
2	Nice	22	13	4	5	+18	43
3	Marseille	23	12	7	4	+16	43
4	Strasbourg	22	10	5	7	+15	35
5	Lyon	22	9	8	5	+3	35
6	Rennes	22	10	4	8	+20	34
7	Montpellier	22	10	4	8	+7	34
8	Monaco	22	9	6	7	+9	33
9	Lens	22	9	6	7	+5	33
10	Nantes	22	9	5	8	+3	32
11	Lille	22	8	8	6	+0	32
12	Angers	23	7	8	8	-4	29
13	Brest	22	7	7	8	-5	28
14	Reims	22	5	9	8	-5	24
15	Clermont	22	5	6	11	-17	21
16	Troyes	22	5	5	12	-11	20
17	Bordeaux	22	4	8	10	-19	20
18	Metz	22	4	7	11	-19	19
19	Lorient	22	3	8	11	-20	17
20	St Etienne	22	3	6	13	-24	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	10	1	0	+21	31
2	Montpellier	12	7	2	3	+9	23
3	Lyon	12	6	5	1	+8	23
4	Rennes	11	7	1	3	+17	22
5	Monaco	11	6	3	2	+12	21
6	Strasbourg	11	6	2	3	+13	20
7	Marseille	12	5	5	2	+9	20
8	Nantes	11	6	2	3	+6	20
9	Lens	11	5	4	2	+8	19
10	Lille	10	5	4	1	+3	19
11	Nice	11	5	3	3	+3	18
12	Angers	11	5	1	5	+0	16
13	Brest	11	4	3	4	-1	15
14	Lorient	10	3	4	3	-1	13
15	Clermont	11	3	4	4	-2	13
16	Reims	10	3	3	4	+0	12
17	Troyes	11	2	4	5	-2	10
18	Bordeaux	12	2	4	6	-5	10
19	Metz	11	1	4	6	-9	7
20	St Etienne	11	1	4	6	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	11	8	1	2	+15	25
2	Marseille	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Paris SG	11	6	4	1	+7	22
4	Strasbourg	11	4	3	4	+2	15
5	Lens	11	4	2	5	-3	14
6	Lille	12	3	4	5	-3	13
7	Angers	12	2	7	3	-4	13
8	Brest	11	3	4	4	-4	13
9	Rennes	11	3	3	5	+3	12
10	Nantes	11	3	3	5	-3	12
11	Monaco	11	3	3	5	-3	12
12	Reims	12	2	6	4	-5	12
13	Lyon	10	3	3	4	-5	12
14	Metz	11	3	3	5	-10	12
15	Montpellier	10	3	2	5	-2	11
16	Troyes	11	3	1	7	-9	10
17	Bordeaux	10	2	4	4	-14	10
18	St Etienne	11	2	2	7	-12	8
19	Clermont	11	2	2	7	-15	8
20	Lorient	12	0	4	8	-19	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.