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Serie B
Referee: M Di Bello
Juve Stabia
T S U T U
1–0
Full-time
Palermo
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 37%
37%
37%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
58%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 7
4 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juve Stabia 6. · Palermo 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 38 25 7 6 +40 82
2 Pisa 38 22 8 8 +25 74
3 Spezia 38 17 15 6 +26 66
4 Cremonese 38 16 13 9 +18 61
5 Catanzaro 39 12 20 7 +7 56
6 Juve Stabia 38 14 13 11 +1 55
7 Cesena 39 14 11 14 -2 53
8 Palermo 38 14 10 14 +9 52
9 Bari 38 10 18 10 +1 48
10 Sudtirol 38 12 10 16 -7 46
11 Modena 38 10 15 13 -2 45
12 Carrarese 38 11 12 15 -10 45
13 Mantova 38 10 14 14 -9 44
14 Reggiana 38 11 11 16 -10 44
15 Brescia 38 9 16 13 -6 43
16 Frosinone 38 9 16 13 -13 43
17 Salernitana 38 11 9 18 -10 42
18 Sampdoria 38 8 17 13 -11 41
19 Cittadella 38 10 10 18 -23 40
20 Cosenza 38 7 13 18 -24 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juve Stabia Palermo
Y. Rocchetti 🔁
↦ N. Fortini
29′
Half-time 0–0
Marco Ruggero 🟨
55′
1–0 A. Adorante
C. Pierobon
67′
Andrea Adorante 🟨
68′
M. Varnier 🔁
↦ M. Ruggero
75′
M. Meli 🔁
↦ N. Mosti
75′
79′
🔁 F. Di Mariano
↦ F. Di Francesco
79′
🔁 J. Le Douaron
↦ A. Blin
C. Andreoni 🔁
↦ R. Floriani Mussolini
85′
L. Sgarbi 🔁
↦ A. Adorante
85′
87′
🟨 Claudio Gomes
90′
🔁 F. Ranocchia
↦ C. Gomes
90′
🔁 A. Vasić
↦ N. Pierozzi
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Juve Stabia

3-4-1-2
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
45 P. Peda D
6 M. Bellich D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
98 N. Mosti M
10 C. Pierobon M
29 N. Fortini M
11 K. Piscopo F
9 A. Adorante F
27 L. Candellone F
Bench (12)
3 Y. Rocchetti
24 M. Varnier
14 M. Meli
28 C. Andreoni
18 L. Sgarbi
13 M. Baldi
55 G. Leone
80 A. Louati
37 F. Maistro
2 D. Quaranta
25 A. Gerbo
1 K. Matošević

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Palermo

3-4-2-1
12 E. Audero G
23 S. Diakité D
4 R. Baniya D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
27 N. Pierozzi M
6 C. Gomes M
28 A. Blin M
17 F. Di Francesco M
8 J. Segre F
9 M. Brunori F
19 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (11)
7 F. Di Mariano
21 J. Le Douaron
10 F. Ranocchia
14 A. Vasić
11 R. Insigne
26 V. Verre
46 S. Sirigu
3 K. Lund
20 T. Henry
25 A. Buttaro
1 S. Desplanches

Coach: A. Dionisi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Di Bello · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.