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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Dundee United
S T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 40%
38%
41%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
43%
59%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
16 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 13
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 5. · Aberdeen 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 37 29 4 4 +86 91
2 Rangers 37 22 8 7 +39 74
3 Hibernian 37 15 12 10 +12 57
4 Aberdeen 37 15 8 14 -12 53
5 Dundee United 37 14 8 15 -10 50
6 Hearts 37 14 7 16 +4 49
7 St Mirren 37 14 7 16 -6 49
8 Motherwell 37 14 6 17 -17 48
9 Kilmarnock 37 12 8 17 -18 44
10 Dundee 37 10 8 19 -22 38
11 Ross County 37 9 9 19 -28 36
12 ST Johnstone 37 9 5 23 -28 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Mar -25 Aberdeen – Dundee United 2–2 29. Dec -24 Dundee United – Aberdeen 1–0 26. Oct -24 Aberdeen – Dundee United 1–0 4. Mar -23 Dundee United – Aberdeen 1–3 12. Nov -22 Aberdeen – Dundee United 1–0

Match report

Dundee United Aberdeen
15′
⚽ J. Okkels 0–1
A. Jensen
Half-time 0–1
L. Moult 🔁
↦ D. Babunski
54′
R. Paton 🔁
↦ K. Trapanovski
54′
1–1 D. Gallagher ⚽
G. Middleton
56′
57′
🟨 Pape Habib Gueye
Will Ferry 🟨
60′
63′
🔁 D. Polvara
↦ J. Okkels
63′
🔁 T. Keskinen
↦ P. Guèye
2–1 S. Dalby ⚽
63′
67′
🔁 S. Morris
↦ A. Palaversa
75′
🔁 Oday Dabbagh
↦ K. Nisbet
75′
🔁 P. Ambrose
↦ J. McGrath
A. Campbell 🔁
↦ G. Middleton
88′
94′
🟨 Kristers Tobers
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-2-3-1
25 D. Richards G
2 R. Strain D
37 S. Harding D
31 D. Gallagher D
11 W. Ferry D
23 R. Docherty M
5 V. Ševelj M
7 K. Trapanovski M
10 D. Babunski M
15 G. Middleton M
19 S. Dalby F
Bench (6)
9 L. Moult
21 R. Paton
22 A. Campbell
1 J. Walton
20 J. van der Sande
16 E. Adegboyega

Coach: J. Goodwin

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov G
28 A. Jensen D
24 K. Tobers D
5 M. Knoester D
4 G. Shinnie D
10 L. Clarkson M
18 A. Palaversa M
7 J. McGrath M
14 P. Guèye M
16 J. Okkels M
9 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
8 D. Polvara
81 T. Keskinen
20 S. Morris
11 Oday Dabbagh
32 P. Ambrose
22 J. Milne
31 R. Doohan
3 J. MacKenzie
2 N. Devlin

Coach: J. Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,87
🔒
U
3,60
🔒
B
2,30
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,70
🔒
U2,5
2,11
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.