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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel González
Eibar
U U U T S
1–0
Full-time
Burgos
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 36%
33%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
31%
33%
Both score Ø 40%
41%
38%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Eibar 14. · Burgos 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 40 20 13 7 +25 73
2 Elche 39 20 11 8 +20 71
3 Mirandes 39 20 8 11 +16 68
4 Santander 39 19 10 10 +15 67
5 Oviedo 39 18 12 9 +11 66
6 Almeria 39 17 11 11 +13 62
7 Granada 39 16 11 12 +10 59
8 Huesca 39 16 10 13 +11 58
9 Cordoba 39 14 12 13 +0 54
10 Albacete 40 14 12 14 -2 54
11 Burgos 39 15 9 15 -5 54
12 La Coruna 39 13 14 12 +8 53
13 Cadiz 39 13 13 13 +0 52
14 Eibar 39 13 13 13 +0 52
15 Sp Gijon 39 12 14 13 +1 50
16 Castellon 39 13 10 16 +0 49
17 Malaga 39 11 16 12 -3 49
18 Zaragoza 39 12 12 15 -4 48
19 Eldense 39 11 10 18 -18 43
20 Tenerife 39 8 12 19 -16 36
21 Ferrol 39 5 12 22 -39 27
22 Cartagena 39 5 5 29 -43 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Burgos
1–0 José Corpas
37′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🟨 Álex Sancris
59′
🟨 Aitor Córdoba Querejeta
64′
🔁 Edu Espiau
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
64′
🔁 Dani Ojeda
↦ David González
Javi Martínez 🔁
↦ Jon Guruzeta
68′
Iván Gil 🔁
↦ Antonio Puertas
68′
75′
🔁 Marcelo Expósito
↦ Álex Sancris
75′
🔁 Borja Sánchez
↦ Miguel Atienza
Álvaro Carrillo 🔁
↦ Anaitz Arbilla
84′
Hodei Arrillaga 🔁
↦ Cristian Gutiérrez
84′
85′
🔁 G. Barès
↦ Iván Morante
88′
🟥 Grego Sierra
91′
🟨 Florian Miguel
Oscar Carrasco 🔁
↦ José Corpas
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Jonmi Magunagoitia G
2 Sergio Cubero D
22 Aritz Arambarri D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
3 Cristian Gutiérrez D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
10 Matheus Pereira M
17 José Corpas M
20 Antonio Puertas M
21 Jon Guruzeta M
9 Jon Bautista F
Bench (10)
24 Javi Martínez
12 Iván Gil
4 Álvaro Carrillo
14 Hodei Arrillaga
35 Oscar Carrasco
19 Toni Villa
18 Martín Merquelanz
11 Jorge Pascual
28 Iker Alday
1 Álex Domínguez

Coach: Beñat San José

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
8 Grego Sierra D
3 F. Miguel D
23 Iván Morante M
5 Miguel Atienza M
11 Álex Sancris M
14 David González M
21 Iñigo Córdoba M
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (12)
19 Edu Espiau
7 Dani Ojeda
33 Marcelo Expósito
10 Borja Sánchez
15 G. Barès
20 Pipa
2 G. Konan
17 F. Mimbacas
24 N. Miličić
46 Rubén Quintanilla
6 Raúl Navarro
1 Tomeu Nadal

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,01
U
3,05
B
4,08
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,61
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Miguel González · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.