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Serie B

Empoli

U U S T S

0–1

Full-time

Arezzo

S T S T T

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Arezzo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

33%

60%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

4,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Empoli 8. · Arezzo 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Palermo	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.0	9
2	Mantova	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.1	7
3	Sudtirol	3	2	1	0	+3	-1.3	7
4	Ascoli	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.9	7
5	Modena	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.7	6
6	Pisa	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.3	6
7	Avellino	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.6	6
8	Empoli	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.6	6
9	Cesena	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.3	5
10	Verona	3	1	1	1	+4	+2.5	4
11	Padova	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.1	4
12	Vicenza	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.2	4
13	Cremonese	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.5	3
14	Juve Stabia	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.7	3
15	Arezzo	3	1	0	2	-5	-0.0	3
16	Virtus Entella	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.2	1
17	Benevento	3	0	1	2	-2	+1.2	1
18	Carrarese	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.2	1
19	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.0	1
20	Catanzaro	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Palermo	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.2	6
2	Sudtirol	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.4	6
3	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
4	Verona	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.8	3
5	Avellino	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.6	3
6	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
7	Vicenza	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
8	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
9	Pisa	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
10	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	3
11	Cesena	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
12	Padova	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
13	Virtus Entella	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
14	Benevento	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.2	1
15	Arezzo	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
16	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
17	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
18	Carrarese	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
19	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
2	Mantova	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
3	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
4	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
5	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
6	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
7	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
9	Padova	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
10	Empoli	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.8	3
11	Arezzo	2	1	0	1	-4	+0.8	3
12	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
13	Carrarese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
14	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
15	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.5	1
16	Vicenza	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
17	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
18	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
19	Virtus Entella	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
20	Catanzaro	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.