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Ligue 2
Montpellier
U S S U T
1–0
Full-time
Pau FC
T S T U U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
20%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
1,6
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

74% Possession 26%
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 5. · Pau FC 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 5 5 0 0 +12 15
2 Annecy 5 3 1 1 +2 10
3 Reims 5 2 3 0 +5 9
4 Metz 5 2 3 0 +4 9
5 Montpellier 5 2 2 1 +0 8
6 Red Star 5 2 2 1 -1 8
7 Nancy 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 Rodez 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Sochaux 5 1 3 1 -2 6
10 Dunkerque 5 1 2 2 -1 5
11 Guingamp 5 1 2 2 -1 5
12 Pau FC 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Boulogne 5 0 4 1 -1 4
14 Clermont 5 0 4 1 -2 4
15 Nantes 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Grenoble 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Laval 5 1 1 3 -5 4
18 Dijon 5 0 3 2 -2 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Pau FC
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Abdel Hakim Abdallah
Julien Laporte 🟨
54′
60′
🟨 Cheikh Fall
Daryll Benlahlou 🔁
↦ Grégory Ayem
63′
Théo Chennahi 🔁
↦ Daylam Meddah
63′
63′
🔁 Jeremy Sebas
↦ Babacar Leye
71′
🔁 Luan Gadegbeku
↦ Lorenzo Rajot
1–0 Theo Sainte Luce
Florian Tardieu
72′
77′
🔁 Bilal Brahimi
↦ Hacene Benali
77′
🔁 Tom Saettel
↦ Cheikh Fall
77′
🔁 Mathys Tourraine
↦ Tom Pouilly
Hichem Abderrebi 🔁
↦ Yaël Mouanga Boudzoumou
78′
Hichem Abderrebi 🟨
89′
93′
🟨 Luan Gadegbeku
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-1-4-1
31 S. Ngapandouetnbu G
3 Naoufel El Hannach D
15 J. Laporte D
6 Y. Mouanga D
27 D. Meddah D
17 T. Sainte-Luce M
18 N. Pays M
90 Gregory Ayem M
5 F. Tardieu M
19 N. Mukiele M
11 M. Camara F
Bench (8)
32 Hichem Abderrebi
23 Daryll Benlahlou
44 T. Chennahi
50 V. Džodić
39 J. Hatchi
9 Lacine Megnan-Pave
77 Everson
40 N. Vidal-Cartoux

Coach: Z. Camara

Pau FC

5-3-2
1 B. Maubleu G
2 T. Pouilly D
8 S. Basse D
23 A. Briançon D
29 G. Paquiez D
97 A. Abdallah D
6 C. Fall M
21 J. Benet M
5 L. Rajot M
9 B. Leye F
7 H. Benali F
Bench (9)
39 M. Tourraine
18 J. Sebas
30 E. Salles
19 T. Saettel
22 R. Baheng
11 A. Lefebvre
27 L. Gadegbeku
4 A. Dodote
10 B. Brahimi

Coach: Thierry Debes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
3,38
B
3,99
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,28
U1,5 ✓
3,52
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,76
O3,5
3,31
U3,5 ✓
1,30
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,75
BLS nei ✓
1,95

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.