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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Rakow

U T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Motor Lublin

S U T S T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Motor Lublin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 7%

14%

Points per game

0,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

83%

57%

Both score Ø 77%

83%

71%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

2,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 18. · Motor Lublin 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	6	5	1	0	+7	+6.4	16
2	Legia	7	4	3	0	+9	+4.6	15
3	Gornik Zabrze	6	5	0	1	+5	+0.6	15
4	Jagiellonia	6	4	0	2	+3	+1.9	12
5	Wisla	7	3	2	2	+2	+4.5	11
6	Piast Gliwice	7	3	1	3	+0	-4.2	10
7	GKS Katowice	6	3	0	3	+3	-1.3	9
8	Pogon Szczecin	6	2	3	1	+3	-1.1	9
9	Korona Kielce	6	2	3	1	+2	-1.9	9
10	Zaglebie	6	2	3	1	+1	+0.6	9
11	Cracovia	7	2	2	3	-2	+3.2	8
12	Radomiak Radom	7	2	2	3	-7	-2.9	8
13	Widzew Lodz	7	1	4	2	+0	-0.2	7
14	Slask Wroclaw	7	1	3	3	-2	-0.1	6
15	Motor Lublin	7	1	2	4	-5	-1.0	5
16	Wisla Plock	6	1	2	3	-7	-0.9	5
17	Wieczysta Krakow	6	1	1	4	-4	-0.9	4
18	Rakow	6	0	0	6	-8	-7.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.6	10
2	Wisla	3	3	0	0	+4	+2.1	9
3	Legia	3	2	1	0	+7	+2.0	7
4	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.6	7
5	Zaglebie	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.8	7
6	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.5	7
7	GKS Katowice	2	2	0	0	+7	+2.4	6
8	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.0	6
9	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.1	6
10	Cracovia	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.2	6
11	Pogon Szczecin	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.2	5
12	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.8	5
13	Korona Kielce	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.0	3
14	Motor Lublin	4	1	0	3	-3	+1.7	3
15	Widzew Lodz	4	0	2	2	-2	+0.2	2
16	Wieczysta Krakow	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
17	Wisla Plock	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.2	1
18	Rakow	3	0	0	3	-5	-3.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.6	9
2	Legia	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.5	8
3	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.0	6
4	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.7	6
5	Korona Kielce	3	2	0	1	+2	-1.9	6
6	Widzew Lodz	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.4	5
7	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
8	Wisla Plock	4	1	1	2	-5	-2.1	4
9	Wieczysta Krakow	4	1	0	3	-3	-0.2	3
10	Piast Gliwice	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.6	3
11	GKS Katowice	4	1	0	3	-4	-3.6	3
12	Cracovia	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
13	Wisla	4	0	2	2	-2	+2.4	2
14	Motor Lublin	3	0	2	1	-2	-2.7	2
15	Zaglebie	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.2	2
16	Slask Wroclaw	4	0	1	3	-3	+1.7	1
17	Radomiak Radom	3	0	1	2	-7	-2.4	1
18	Rakow	3	0	0	3	-3	-3.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.