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Süper Lig
Referee: Gurcan Hasova
Besiktas
S T T S S
3–0
Full-time
Erzurumspor
S T T U S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Erzurumspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,3
0,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,27 xG 0,41
74% Possession 26%
21 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 1
2 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 2. · Erzurumspor 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 4 3 1 0 +6 +7.3 10
2 Besiktas 4 3 0 1 +5 +4.8 9
3 Kocaelispor 4 3 0 1 +2 -1.1 9
4 Trabzonspor 4 2 1 1 +5 -0.1 7
5 Amedspor 4 2 1 1 +2 +2.4 7
6 Gaziantep 4 2 1 1 +2 +0.3 7
7 Alanyaspor 4 2 1 1 +1 -1.0 7
8 Genclerbirligi 4 2 1 1 -3 -4.5 7
9 Fenerbahce 4 2 0 2 +2 +1.9 6
10 Kasimpasa 4 1 3 0 +1 +1.1 6
11 Rizespor 4 2 0 2 -1 +2.8 6
12 Buyuksehyr 4 1 1 2 +0 +0.2 4
13 Samsunspor 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.4 4
14 Corum 4 1 1 2 -2 -1.9 4
15 Erzurumspor 4 1 1 2 -6 -4.1 4
16 Eyüpspor 4 1 0 3 -4 -2.9 3
17 Goztep 4 0 1 3 -4 -3.0 1
18 Konyaspor 4 0 0 4 -5 -0.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Erzurumspor
O. Kokcu 🟨
15′
1–0 E. Topcu
O. Kokcu
21′
K. Ouattara 🟨
26′
2–0 L. Trossard
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
27′
Half-time 2–0
L. Trossard ℹ️
VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball
51′
57′
🔁 I. Diabate
↦ M. Cardoso
S. Ozcan 🟨
66′
67′
🔁 M. Fettahoglu
↦ M. Rodriguez
67′
🔁 Y. Kirtay
↦ N. Mujakic
K. Kayra Yilmaz 🔁
↦ O. Kokcu
70′
W. Ndidi 🔁
↦ S. Ozcan
71′
I. Fakili 🔁
↦ V. Cerny
71′
73′
🔁 F. Ebosele
↦ O. Ovacikli
73′
🔁 G. Kerk
↦ E. Tozlu
3–0 I. Fakili
M. Murillo
81′
T. Bulut 🔁
↦ M. Murillo
83′
E. Poku 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
83′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
1 A. Nubel G
62 M. Murillo D
12 E. Agbadou D
53 E. Topcu D
11 K. Ouattara D
6 S. Ozcan M
18 V. Cerny M
15 J. Olaitan M
10 O. Kokcu M
19 L. Trossard M
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu F
Bench (10)
80 D. Alemdar
22 T. Bulut
58 Y. Ozcan
35 T. Djalo
50 U. Akdag
4 W. Ndidi
8 K. Kayra Yilmaz
17 E. Poku
90 S. Kilicsoy
29 I. Fakili

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Erzurumspor

5-4-1
1 E. Taskiran G
53 O. Ovacikli D
4 A. Gerxhaliu D
22 M. Yumlu D
18 N. Mujakic D
15 G. Giorbelidze D
20 M. Cardoso M
6 B. Baiye M
42 E. Owusu M
65 M. Rodriguez M
10 E. Tozlu F
Bench (10)
31 M. Orbanic
2 F. Ebosele
3 Y. Kirtay
23 C. Bayrak
8 S. Akgun
77 L. Agyekum
99 M. Fettahoglu
19 I. Diabate
90 N. Akhundzade
9 G. Kerk

Coach: Serkan Ozbalta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
U
5,67
B
9,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,13
U1,5
5,25
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,51
O3,5
2,33
U3,5 ✓
1,58
Both teams to score
BLS ja
2,05
BLS nei ✓
1,67

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.