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Conference League
Referee: M Ocenas
HNK Hajduk Split
T S T S S
2–2
Full-time
Rakow
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Hajduk Split Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
100%
75%
Points per game
3,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
5,5
2,3
Scored
4,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+3,5
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
2 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Match report

HNK Hajduk Split Rakow
1–0 M. Sego ⚽
A. Sanyang
21′
27′
⚽ M. Emreli 1–1
E. Otieno
31′
🟨 Erick Otieno
Šimun Hrgović 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 D. G. Debohi
↦ S. Svarnas
2–1 D. de Almeida ⚽
M. Soticek
47′
Adrion Pajaziti 🟥
55′
58′
🔁 J. C. Silva
↦ E. Otieno
58′
🔁 T. Pienko
↦ O. Kwiatkowski
A. del Moral 🔁
↦ M. Soticek
61′
Dalisson de Almeida 🟨
62′
67′
🔁 A. Brorsson
↦ F. Tudor
A. Sutalo 🔁
↦ A. Sanyang
68′
D. Melnjak 🔁
↦ D. de Almeida
68′
74′
🔁 I. Brusberg
↦ V. Kochergin
M. Livaja 🔁
↦ M. Sego
76′
A. Van Hoorenbeeck 🔁
↦ S. Hrgovic
77′
Alberto del Moral 🟨
80′
81′
🟨 Tomasz Pieńko
90′
⚽ L. Diaby-Fadiga 2–2
I. Brusberg
Rokas Pukštas 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
33 T. Silic G
8 N. Sigur D
15 D. Maresic D
14 R. Raci D
32 S. Hrgovic D
4 A. Pajaziti M
21 R. Pukstas M
7 A. Sanyang M
9 D. de Almeida M
23 M. Soticek M
11 M. Sego F
Bench (12)
1 I. Ivusic
44 D. Stipica
3 R. Gabric
5 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
10 M. Livaja
16 A. Sutalo
17 D. Melnjak
19 E. Brruti
20 A. del Moral
26 A. Huram
36 M. Skelin
38 L. Hodak

Coach: Gonzalo Garcia

Rakow

3-4-3
1 K. Trelowski G
7 F. Tudor D
25 B. Racovitan D
4 S. Svarnas D
19 M. Ameyaw M
6 O. Repka M
10 V. Kochergin M
26 E. Otieno M
80 L. Diaby-Fadiga F
11 M. Emreli F
15 O. Kwiatkowski M
Bench (11)
29 W. Zolneczko
71 T. Karic
2 J. Napieraj
3 A. Brorsson
17 J. Jendryka
20 J. C. Silva
21 T. Pienko
23 K. Struski
39 I. Brusberg
77 D. G. Debohi
88 A. Molnar

Coach: Dawid Kroczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Ocenas · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
13,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.