NM-cupen
Analyse a posteriori — le modèle n'est entraîné que sur des matchs joués avant celui-ci.
Modellens sannsynligheter for hjemmeseier, uavgjort og borteseier — med begrunnelse og anbefalte markeder.
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Kjelsås
Lysekloster
Forventede mål, over/under og begge lag scorer — priset av modellen før avspark.
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Modellens topp sluttresultater med beste odds hos bookmakerne.
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| # | Équipe | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bryne
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 6 |
| 2 |
Fredrikstad
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 6 |
| 3 |
Tromso
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 6 |
| 4 |
Alta
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 6 |
| 5 |
Stromsgodset
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 6 |
| 6 |
Brann
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 6 |
| 7 |
Raufoss
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 6 |
| 8 |
Lillestrom
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 6 |
| 9 |
Rosenborg
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 6 |
| 10 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 6 |
| 11 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 12 |
Ham-Kam
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 13 |
Ranheim
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 14 |
Stabaek
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 15 |
Valerenga
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 16 |
Viking
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 17 |
Asane
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 18 |
hodd
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 19 |
Sandnes ULF
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 20 |
Molde
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 21 |
Lysekloster
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 22 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 23 |
Levanger
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 24 |
KFUM Oslo
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 25 |
Arendal
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 26 |
Odd
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 27 |
Råde
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 28 |
Eidsvold
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 29 |
Kristiansund
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 30 |
Kjelsås
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 31 |
Egersund
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 32 |
Sogndal
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 |
| 33 |
Frøya
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 34 |
Kongsvinger
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 3 |
| 35 |
Hønefoss
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 36 |
Eik-Tønsberg
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 37 |
Træff
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 38 |
Moss
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 39 |
Mjondalen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 40 |
Strommen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 41 |
Strindheim
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 42 |
Skeid
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 43 |
Junkeren
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 44 |
Skjervøy
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 45 |
Aalesund
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 46 |
Elverum
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 47 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 48 |
Lyn
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 49 |
Pors Grenland
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 50 |
Flekkerøy
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 51 |
Bjarg
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 52 |
Ull/Kisa
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 53 |
Frigg
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 54 |
Jerv
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 55 |
Vard
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 56 |
Oppsal
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 57 |
Fram
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 58 |
Bærum
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 59 |
Melhus
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 60 |
Fløya
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 3 |
| 61 |
Djerv
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 62 |
Sotra
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 63 |
Start
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 64 |
Haugesund
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 65 |
Torvastad
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 66 |
Askøy
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 67 |
Stord
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 68 |
Mandalskameratene
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -7 | 1 |
| 69 |
Trygg/Lade
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 70 |
Brattvåg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 71 |
Mjølner
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 72 |
Notodden
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 73 |
Lørenskog
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 74 |
Express
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 75 |
Nordstrand
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 76 |
Vidar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 77 |
Sandefjord
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 78 |
Byåsen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 79 |
Hei
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 80 |
Sandviken
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 81 |
Madla
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 82 |
Gjelleråsen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 83 |
Nardo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 84 |
Bossekop
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 85 |
Grorud
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 86 |
Brodd
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 87 |
Follo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 88 |
Åskollen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 89 |
Toten
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 90 |
Ullern
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 91 |
Asker
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 92 |
Os
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 93 |
Kvik Halden
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 94 |
Fana
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 95 |
Spjelkavik
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 96 |
Randesund
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 97 |
Gamle Oslo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 98 |
Heming
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 99 |
Funnefoss / Vormsund
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 100 |
Årvoll
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 101 |
Fjøra
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 102 |
Ørn Horten
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 103 |
Sprint-Jeløy
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 104 |
Tiller
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 105 |
Rana
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 106 |
Union Carl Berner
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 107 |
Førde
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 108 |
Surnadal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 109 |
Sarpsborg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 110 |
Mosjøen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 111 |
Senja
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 112 |
Volda
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 113 |
Gjøvik-Lyn
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 114 |
Eide
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 115 |
Ridabu
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 116 |
Varhaug
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 117 |
Lyngbø
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 118 |
Flint
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 119 |
Brønnøysund
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 120 |
Sortland
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 121 |
Sverresborg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 122 |
Bjørkelangen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
| 123 |
Hallingdal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
| 124 |
Nybergsund
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
| 125 |
Skreia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
| 126 |
Drøbak / Frogn
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10 | 0 |
| 127 |
Forus og Gausel
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10 | 0 |
| 128 |
Kirkenes
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11 | 0 |
Calculé à partir de nos données de résultats. « xG +/− » est la différence de buts attendue — un chiffre positif avec un faible classement suggère une équipe sous-estimée. Les égalités de points sont départagées à la différence de buts ; certaines ligues utilisent d'autres règles.
Entraîneur : E. Kampen
Entraîneur : R. Hetlevik
Les colonnes vertes sont les issues qui se sont réalisées.
Kjelsås
Kongsvinger
Nordstrand
Kjelsås
Kjelsås
Molde
Kjelsås
Raufoss
Kjelsås
KFUM Oslo
L'analyse est une estimation statistique basée sur les résultats des équipes et leurs performances sous-jacentes (xG) — pas une garantie. Voir résultats du modèle.