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NM-cupen
Referee: M Støfringshaug
Eidsvold
T U S S S
3–5
Full-time
Sandnes ULF
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eidsvold Sandnes ULF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,5
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — NM-cupen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
5,7
Scored
1,7
4,0
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Eidsvold 15. · Sandnes ULF 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bryne 3 3 0 0 +18 9
2 Fredrikstad 3 3 0 0 +14 9
3 Stromsgodset 3 3 0 0 +14 9
4 Lillestrom 3 3 0 0 +10 9
5 Viking 3 3 0 0 +10 9
6 Raufoss 3 3 0 0 +10 9
7 Ham-Kam 3 3 0 0 +9 9
8 Stabaek 3 3 0 0 +8 9
9 Molde 3 3 0 0 +8 9
10 Valerenga 3 3 0 0 +8 9
11 Sandnes ULF 3 3 0 0 +7 9
12 Lysekloster 3 3 0 0 +7 9
13 Sarpsborg 08 3 3 0 0 +6 9
14 Levanger 3 3 0 0 +6 9
15 Eidsvold 3 3 0 0 +4 9
16 KFUM Oslo 3 2 1 0 +5 7
17 Alta 3 2 0 1 +11 6
18 Tromso 3 2 0 1 +11 6
19 Brann 3 2 0 1 +8 6
20 Rosenborg 3 2 0 1 +7 6
21 Bodo/Glimt 3 2 0 1 +6 6
22 Ranheim 3 2 0 1 +6 6
23 Asane 3 2 0 1 +5 6
24 hodd 3 2 0 1 +4 6
25 Tromsdalen Uil 3 2 0 1 +3 6
26 Arendal 3 2 0 1 +3 6
27 Odd 3 2 0 1 +2 6
28 Råde 3 2 0 1 +2 6
29 Kjelsås 3 2 0 1 +1 6
30 Egersund 3 2 0 1 +0 6
31 Kristiansund 3 2 0 1 -2 6
32 Sogndal 3 1 2 0 +4 5
33 Frøya 2 1 1 0 +2 4
34 Kongsvinger 2 1 0 1 +7 3
35 Hønefoss 2 1 0 1 +4 3
36 Eik-Tønsberg 2 1 0 1 +3 3
37 Træff 2 1 0 1 +3 3
38 Moss 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Mjondalen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
40 Strommen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Strindheim 2 1 0 1 +1 3
42 Skeid 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Junkeren 2 1 0 1 +1 3
44 Skjervøy 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Aalesund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
46 Elverum 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Stjørdals-Blink 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Lyn 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Pors Grenland 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Flekkerøy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Bjarg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Ull/Kisa 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Frigg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Jerv 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Vard 2 1 0 1 -2 3
56 Oppsal 2 1 0 1 -2 3
57 Fram 2 1 0 1 -2 3
58 Bærum 2 1 0 1 -3 3
59 Melhus 2 1 0 1 -3 3
60 Fløya 2 1 0 1 -5 3
61 Djerv 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Sotra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Start 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Haugesund 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Torvastad 2 0 1 1 -1 1
66 Askøy 2 0 1 1 -3 1
67 Stord 2 0 1 1 -4 1
68 Mandalskameratene 2 0 1 1 -7 1
69 Trygg/Lade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Brattvåg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Mjølner 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Notodden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Lørenskog 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Express 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Vidar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Byåsen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Hei 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Sandviken 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Madla 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Gjelleråsen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Nardo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Bossekop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Grorud 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Brodd 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Follo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Åskollen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Toten 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Ullern 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Asker 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Os 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Kvik Halden 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Fana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Randesund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Gamle Oslo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Heming 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Funnefoss / Vormsund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Årvoll 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Fjøra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Ørn Horten 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Sprint-Jeløy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Tiller 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Rana 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Union Carl Berner 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Førde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 Surnadal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Sarpsborg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
110 Mosjøen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
111 Senja 1 0 0 1 -5 0
112 Volda 1 0 0 1 -5 0
113 Gjøvik-Lyn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
114 Eide 1 0 0 1 -5 0
115 Ridabu 1 0 0 1 -5 0
116 Varhaug 1 0 0 1 -5 0
117 Lyngbø 1 0 0 1 -6 0
118 Flint 1 0 0 1 -6 0
119 Brønnøysund 1 0 0 1 -6 0
120 Sortland 1 0 0 1 -6 0
121 Sverresborg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
122 Bjørkelangen 1 0 0 1 -7 0
123 Hallingdal 1 0 0 1 -7 0
124 Nybergsund 1 0 0 1 -8 0
125 Skreia 1 0 0 1 -8 0
126 Drøbak / Frogn 1 0 0 1 -10 0
127 Forus og Gausel 1 0 0 1 -10 0
128 Kirkenes 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eidsvold Sandnes ULF
32′
T. Høiland 0–1
44′
J. Kvernstuen 0–2
Half-time 0–3
52′
J. Kvernstuen 0–3
55′
H. Brkic 0–4
O. Stenseth 🟨
56′
1–4 V. Kaba
57′
59′
🔁 H. Jensen
↦ T. Høiland
59′
🔁 N. Umbach Bertelsen
↦ V. Solheim
61′
E. Berger 1–5
64′
🔁 E. Hjertager
↦ H. Brkic
64′
🔁 M. Bager
↦ E. Berger
71′
🔁 I. Hjorteseth
↦ V. Sakor
E. Benjaminsen 🔁
↦ O. Stenseth
75′
M. Velldal 🔁
↦ V. Kaba
75′
S. Stokke 🔁
↦ P. Hokstad
75′
S. Teksum 🔁
↦ F. Delaveris
75′
2–5 M. Velldal
83′
3–5 S. Stokke
94′
Full-time 3–5

Line-ups

Eidsvold

P. Lervik
O. Stenseth
M. Nygård
K. Håkenstad
H. Thorkildsen
F. Delaveris
S. Berge
M. Sørensen
P. Hokstad
V. Kaba
K. Bandeh
Bench (9)
E. Benjaminsen
M. Velldal
S. Stokke
S. Teksum
C. Morala Notoane
E. Øy
H. Henriksen
J. Andersson
L. Berg Haagenrud

Sandnes ULF

S. Lønning
E. Berger
A. Nyhagen
V. Sakor
H. Brkic
G. Øregaard
V. Solheim
D. Braut
T. Høiland
M. Aanesland
J. Kvernstuen
Bench (8)
H. Jensen
N. Umbach Bertelsen
E. Hjertager
M. Bager
I. Hjorteseth
A. Memedov
E. Berland
T. Flolid

Coach: T. Pereira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Støfringshaug · 64 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.