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Conference League
Referee: H Meler
Club Brugge
S S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Fiorentina
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 17/13 matches
Win Ø 63%
71%
54%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
65%
46%
Both score Ø 54%
53%
54%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,4
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,21 xG 2,52
53% Possession 47%
4 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
7 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. May -24 Fiorentina – Club Brugge 3–2

Match report

Club Brugge Fiorentina
Denis Odoi 🟨
-5′
Denis Odoi 🟥
-5′
1–0 H. Vanaken ⚽
Thiago
20′
Joel Ordóñez 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
Igor Thiago 🟨
52′
Hugo Vetlesen 🟨
62′
P. Zinckernagel 🔁
↦ H. Vetlesen
70′
70′
🔁 M'Bala Nzola
↦ A. Belotti
71′
🔁 A. Duncan
↦ Arthur
Denis Odoi 🟨
72′
Brandon Mechele 🟨
83′
85′
⚽ L. Beltrán 1–1
A. Nusa 🔁
↦ D. Odoi
86′
C. Nielsen 🔁
↦ M. Skóraś
86′
88′
🟨 Nikola Milenković
90′
🔁 L. Ranieri
↦ L. Beltrán
94′
🟨 Dodô
Hans Vanaken 🟨
95′
96′
🟨 M'Bala Nzola
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
64 K. Sabbe D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
10 H. Vetlesen M
6 D. Odoi M
8 M. Skóraś M
20 H. Vanaken M
9 Ferran Jutglà M
99 Thiago F
Bench (10)
77 P. Zinckernagel
32 A. Nusa
27 C. Nielsen
58 J. Spileers
29 N. Jackers
65 J. Seys
62 S. Homma
68 C. Talbi
21 J. Bursik
39 É. Balanta

Coach: N. Hayen

Fiorentina

4-3-3
1 P. Terracciano G
2 Dodô D
4 N. Milenković D
28 L. Martínez Quarta D
3 C. Biraghi D
9 L. Beltrán M
6 Arthur M
38 R. Mandragora M
10 N. González F
20 A. Belotti F
99 C. Kouamé F
Bench (12)
18 M'Bala Nzola
32 A. Duncan
16 L. Ranieri
72 A. Barák
65 F. Parisi
8 M. Lopez
22 D. Faraoni
11 J. Ikoné
33 M. Kayode
19 G. Infantino
37 P. Comuzzo
53 O. Christensen

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.