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NM-cupen

Referee: S Amland

Molde

U S S S T

4–2

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — NM-cupen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

3,3

2,7

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Molde 9. · Sarpsborg 08 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bryne	3	3	0	0	+18	9
2	Fredrikstad	3	3	0	0	+14	9
3	Stromsgodset	3	3	0	0	+14	9
4	Lillestrom	3	3	0	0	+10	9
5	Viking	3	3	0	0	+10	9
6	Raufoss	3	3	0	0	+10	9
7	Ham-Kam	3	3	0	0	+9	9
8	Stabaek	3	3	0	0	+8	9
9	Molde	3	3	0	0	+8	9
10	Valerenga	3	3	0	0	+8	9
11	Sandnes ULF	3	3	0	0	+7	9
12	Lysekloster	3	3	0	0	+7	9
13	Sarpsborg 08	3	3	0	0	+6	9
14	Levanger	3	3	0	0	+6	9
15	Eidsvold	3	3	0	0	+4	9
16	KFUM Oslo	3	2	1	0	+5	7
17	Alta	3	2	0	1	+11	6
18	Tromso	3	2	0	1	+11	6
19	Brann	3	2	0	1	+8	6
20	Rosenborg	3	2	0	1	+7	6
21	Bodo/Glimt	3	2	0	1	+6	6
22	Ranheim	3	2	0	1	+6	6
23	Asane	3	2	0	1	+5	6
24	hodd	3	2	0	1	+4	6
25	Tromsdalen Uil	3	2	0	1	+3	6
26	Arendal	3	2	0	1	+3	6
27	Odd	3	2	0	1	+2	6
28	Råde	3	2	0	1	+2	6
29	Kjelsås	3	2	0	1	+1	6
30	Egersund	3	2	0	1	+0	6
31	Kristiansund	3	2	0	1	-2	6
32	Sogndal	3	1	2	0	+4	5
33	Frøya	2	1	1	0	+2	4
34	Kongsvinger	2	1	0	1	+7	3
35	Hønefoss	2	1	0	1	+4	3
36	Eik-Tønsberg	2	1	0	1	+3	3
37	Træff	2	1	0	1	+3	3
38	Moss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	Mjondalen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Strommen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Strindheim	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Skeid	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Skjervøy	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Aalesund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Elverum	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Pors Grenland	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Flekkerøy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Bjarg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Ull/Kisa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Frigg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Jerv	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Vard	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Oppsal	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	Fram	2	1	0	1	-2	3
58	Bærum	2	1	0	1	-3	3
59	Melhus	2	1	0	1	-3	3
60	Fløya	2	1	0	1	-5	3
61	Djerv	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Haugesund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Torvastad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
66	Askøy	2	0	1	1	-3	1
67	Stord	2	0	1	1	-4	1
68	Mandalskameratene	2	0	1	1	-7	1
69	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Brattvåg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Mjølner	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Express	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Byåsen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Hei	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Madla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Gjelleråsen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Follo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Åskollen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Toten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Os	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Fana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Gamle Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Heming	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Årvoll	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Ørn Horten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Tiller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Rana	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Union Carl Berner	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Førde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	Sarpsborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Senja	1	0	0	1	-5	0
112	Volda	1	0	0	1	-5	0
113	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
114	Eide	1	0	0	1	-5	0
115	Ridabu	1	0	0	1	-5	0
116	Varhaug	1	0	0	1	-5	0
117	Lyngbø	1	0	0	1	-6	0
118	Flint	1	0	0	1	-6	0
119	Brønnøysund	1	0	0	1	-6	0
120	Sortland	1	0	0	1	-6	0
121	Sverresborg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
122	Bjørkelangen	1	0	0	1	-7	0
123	Hallingdal	1	0	0	1	-7	0
124	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
125	Skreia	1	0	0	1	-8	0
126	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-10	0
127	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-10	0
128	Kirkenes	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Råde	3	2	0	1	+2	6
2	Eidsvold	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Hønefoss	2	1	0	1	+4	3
4	Stromsgodset	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Træff	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Sandnes ULF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Levanger	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Kjelsås	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Flekkerøy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Frigg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	hodd	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Tromsdalen Uil	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Oppsal	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Fram	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Melhus	2	1	0	1	-3	3
18	Frøya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Sogndal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Torvastad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	Askøy	2	0	1	1	-3	1
22	Stord	2	0	1	1	-4	1
23	Mandalskameratene	2	0	1	1	-7	1
24	Strommen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Alta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Brattvåg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Mjølner	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Express	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Stjørdals-Blink	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Arendal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Hei	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Skjervøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Madla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Elverum	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Gjelleråsen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Egersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Åskollen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Toten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Junkeren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Os	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Fana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Gamle Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Heming	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Årvoll	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Eik-Tønsberg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Ørn Horten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Tiller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Bjarg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Rana	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Union Carl Berner	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Førde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Sarpsborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Vard	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Senja	1	0	0	1	-5	0
78	Volda	1	0	0	1	-5	0
79	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
80	Eide	1	0	0	1	-5	0
81	Ridabu	1	0	0	1	-5	0
82	Varhaug	1	0	0	1	-5	0
83	Lyngbø	1	0	0	1	-6	0
84	Flint	1	0	0	1	-6	0
85	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-6	0
86	Brønnøysund	1	0	0	1	-6	0
87	Sortland	1	0	0	1	-6	0
88	Sverresborg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
89	Bjørkelangen	1	0	0	1	-7	0
90	Hallingdal	1	0	0	1	-7	0
91	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
92	Skreia	1	0	0	1	-8	0
93	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-10	0
94	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-10	0
95	Kirkenes	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bryne	3	3	0	0	+18	9
2	Lillestrom	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Viking	3	3	0	0	+10	9
4	Raufoss	3	3	0	0	+10	9
5	Ham-Kam	3	3	0	0	+9	9
6	Stabaek	3	3	0	0	+8	9
7	Molde	3	3	0	0	+8	9
8	Lysekloster	3	3	0	0	+7	9
9	Sarpsborg 08	3	3	0	0	+6	9
10	KFUM Oslo	3	2	1	0	+5	7
11	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+13	6
12	Alta	2	2	0	0	+12	6
13	Tromso	3	2	0	1	+11	6
14	Stromsgodset	2	2	0	0	+10	6
15	Brann	3	2	0	1	+8	6
16	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+8	6
17	Rosenborg	3	2	0	1	+7	6
18	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+7	6
19	Valerenga	2	2	0	0	+7	6
20	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+6	6
21	Asane	3	2	0	1	+5	6
22	Levanger	2	2	0	0	+5	6
23	Arendal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
24	Odd	3	2	0	1	+2	6
25	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
26	Kristiansund	3	2	0	1	-2	6
27	Sogndal	2	1	1	0	+4	4
28	Kongsvinger	2	1	0	1	+7	3
29	Eik-Tønsberg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
30	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+5	3
31	hodd	1	1	0	0	+5	3
32	Junkeren	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Bjarg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Vard	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Moss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Strommen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Strindheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Skjervøy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Mjondalen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Elverum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Bærum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Frøya	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Jerv	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Skeid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	Eidsvold	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Aalesund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
48	Fløya	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Ull/Kisa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Kjelsås	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Pors Grenland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Djerv	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Haugesund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Byåsen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Follo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.