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League Cup

Referee: J Linington

QPR

S S T T S

0–1

Full-time

Norwich

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Norwich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

6 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 13

1 Offside 7

9 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Reading	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Newport County	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Gillingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Mansfield Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Port Vale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Doncaster	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Exeter City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Colchester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Sutton Utd	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Cambridge United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Crewe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Sheffield Weds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Peterborough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Swindon Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Stevenage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Wrexham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Walsall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Fleetwood Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Shrewsbury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Barrow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Forest Green	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Notts County	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Newport County	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Gillingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Mansfield Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Port Vale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Exeter City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Sutton Utd	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Sheffield Weds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Peterborough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Stevenage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Wrexham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Forest Green	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Notts County	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Doncaster	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Colchester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Cambridge United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Crewe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Swindon Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Walsall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Fleetwood Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Shrewsbury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Barrow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Apr -23 QPR – Norwich 1–1 2. Nov -22 Norwich – QPR 0–0 24. Apr -21 QPR – Norwich 1–3 29. Dec -20 Norwich – QPR 1–1 6. Apr -19 Norwich – QPR 4–0

Match report

QPR Norwich

Samuel Field 🟨

24′

32′

🔁 O. Hernández

↦ T. Springett

Half-time 0–0

J. Walsh 🔁

↦ J. Archer

46′

🔁 Gabriel Sara

↦ K. McLean

61′

🟨 Andrew Omobamidele

Alexander Aoraha 🔁

↦ A. Dozzell

62′

R. Kolli 🔁

↦ L. Dykes

64′

69′

🔁 J. Sargent

↦ A. Idah

69′

🔁 J. Rowe

↦ L. Gibbs

69′

🔁 A. Barnes

↦ O. Hernández

K. Paal 🔁

↦ Z. Larkeche

77′

M. Fox 🔁

↦ O. Kakay

77′

80′

🔁 S. McCallum

↦ C. Fassnacht

A. Drewe 🔁

↦ A. Adomah

85′

99′

⚽ J. Rowe 0–1

K. Fisher

Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

QPR

3-4-3

13 J. Archer G

2 O. Kakay D

S. Field D

28 J. Gubbins D

37 A. Adomah M

24 S. Duke-McKenna M

17 A. Dozzell M

21 Z. Larkeche M

18 T. Richards F

L. Dykes F

19 E. Dixon-Bonner F

Bench (9)

32 J. Walsh

36 Alexander Aoraha

38 R. Kolli

22 K. Paal

15 M. Fox

29 A. Drewe

33 T. Mahorn

34 R. Pedder

39 S. Bala

Coach: G. Ainsworth

Norwich

4-2-3-1

28 A. Gunn G

K. Fisher D

24 S. Duffy D

A. Omobamidele D

20 P. Płacheta D

L. Gibbs M

K. McLean M

C. Fassnacht M

M. Núñez M

42 T. Springett M

A. Idah F

Bench (9)

25 O. Hernández

17 Gabriel Sara

9 J. Sargent

27 J. Rowe

10 A. Barnes

15 S. McCallum

38 J. McCracken

6 B. Gibson

50 J. Warner

Coach: D. Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

12. Aug CH 3 years ago

5. Aug CH 3 years ago

8. May CH 3 years ago

29. Apr CH 3 years ago

22. Apr CH 3 years ago

Referee

J Linington · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,6 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

22,9 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Recent head-to-head meetings

Match report

Line-ups

QPR

Norwich

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee