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Championship
Referee: T Bramall
Watford
S T T U S
4–0
Full-time
QPR
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

2,67 xG 0,40
71% Possession 29%
23 Shots 4
12 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Mar -23 QPR – Watford 1–0 27. Aug -22 Watford – QPR 2–3 1. Feb -21 Watford – QPR 1–2 21. Nov -20 QPR – Watford 1–1

Match report

Watford QPR
1–0 T. Dele-Bashiru ⚽
I. Louza
1′
2–0 I. Louza ⚽
J. Ngakia
20′
3–0 Matheus Martins ⚽
K. Sema
38′
4–0 V. Bayo ⚽
F. Sierralta
43′
Half-time 4–0
James Morris 🟨
46′
R. Andrews 🔁
↦ J. Morris
46′
46′
🔁 S. Duke-McKenna
↦ P. Smyth
46′
🔁 S. Armstrong
↦ C. Kelman
I. Koné 🔁
↦ I. Louza
66′
G. Chakvetadze 🔁
↦ T. Dele-Bashiru
66′
J. Livermore 🔁
↦ F. Sierralta
66′
67′
🟨 Sinclair Armstrong
76′
🟨 Samuel Field
E. Kayembe 🔁
↦ Matheus Martins
82′
97′
🔁 C. Willock
↦ I. Chair
97′
🔁 E. Dixon-Bonner
↦ A. Dozzell
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Watford

4-3-3
1 D. Bachmann G
2 J. Ngakia D
5 R. Porteous D
4 W. Hoedt D
42 J. Morris D
24 T. Dele-Bashiru M
3 F. Sierralta M
10 I. Louza M
12 K. Sema F
19 V. Bayo F
37 Matheus Martins F
Bench (9)
45 R. Andrews
11 I. Koné
16 G. Chakvetadze
8 J. Livermore
39 E. Kayembe
15 M. Pollock
26 B. Hamer
18 Y. Asprilla
14 R. Healey

Coach: V. Ismaël

QPR

4-2-3-1
1 A. Begović G
2 O. Kakay D
15 M. Fox D
28 J. Gubbins D
22 K. Paal D
17 A. Dozzell M
8 S. Field M
11 P. Smyth M
23 C. Kelman M
10 I. Chair M
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (9)
24 S. Duke-McKenna
30 S. Armstrong
7 C. Willock
19 E. Dixon-Bonner
13 J. Archer
18 T. Richards
21 Z. Larkeche
37 A. Adomah
29 A. Drewe

Coach: G. Ainsworth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
🔒
U
3,58
🔒
B
4,09
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,96
🔒
U2,5
1,84
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Bramall · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.