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Championship
Referee: D Webb
Norwich
T S U T U
0–3
Full-time
Swansea
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Swansea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
This season — Championship · 43/43 matches
Win Ø 39%
40%
37%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 54%
51%
56%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

22% Possession 78%
8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 8. · Swansea 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 42 26 14 2 +48 92
2 Sheffield United 42 25 7 10 +29 82
3 Middlesbrough 42 22 8 12 +31 74
4 Luton 40 20 12 8 +17 72
5 Millwall 43 18 11 14 +8 65
6 Blackburn 42 19 7 16 -2 64
7 West Brom 42 17 12 13 +9 63
8 Norwich 43 17 11 15 +8 62
9 Preston 43 17 11 15 -8 62
10 Sunderland 41 16 12 13 +9 60
11 Coventry 41 15 14 12 +8 59
12 Watford 43 15 14 14 +2 59
13 Swansea 43 16 11 16 +0 59
14 Bristol City 43 13 14 16 -3 53
15 Birmingham 43 14 11 18 -7 53
16 Hull 43 13 14 16 -11 53
17 Stoke 43 14 10 19 +4 52
18 Reading 43 13 10 20 -19 49
19 Rotherham 42 10 16 16 -10 46
20 Cardiff 42 12 9 21 -14 45
21 Huddersfield 43 11 11 21 -19 44
22 QPR 43 11 11 21 -27 44
23 Wigan 43 9 13 21 -28 40
24 Blackpool 43 9 11 23 -25 38

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Swansea
23′
J. Latibeaudiere 0–1
R. Manning
39′
L. Cullen 0–2
R. Manning
Sam McCallum 🟥
42′
S. Byram 🔁
↦ A. Idah
44′
Half-time 0–3
64′
O. Ntcham 0–3
L. Cundle
66′
🔁 M. Whittaker
↦ J. Paterson
73′
🟨 Matt Grimes
79′
🔁 O. Cooper
↦ O. Ntcham
Liam Gibbs 🟨
81′
87′
🔁 C. Congreve
↦ L. Cullen
87′
🔁 K. Naughton
↦ R. Manning
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Norwich

4-4-2
28 A. Gunn G
2 M. Aarons D
4 A. Omobamidele D
19 J. Sørensen D
15 S. McCallum D
46 L. Gibbs M
26 M. Núñez M
17 Gabriel Sara M
25 O. Hernández M
11 A. Idah F
24 J. Sargent F
Bench (7)
3 S. Byram
18 C. Tzolis
27 J. Rowe
1 T. Krul
22 T. Pukki
8 I. Hayden
41 A. Kamara

Coach: D. Wagner

Swansea

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fisher G
22 J. Latibeaudiere D
5 B. Cabango D
23 N. Wood-Gordon D
3 R. Manning D
8 M. Grimes M
10 O. Ntcham M
20 L. Cullen M
18 L. Cundle M
12 J. Paterson M
17 J. Piroe F
Bench (7)
19 M. Whittaker
31 O. Cooper
45 C. Congreve
26 K. Naughton
29 M. Sorinola
6 H. Darling
27 A. Søndergaard

Coach: R. Martin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,04
U
3,55
B ✓
3,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.