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DFB-Pokal

Referee: T Reichel

Waldhof Mannheim

0–0

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

17 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 24

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+10	3
2	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Stuttgarter Kickers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	VfB Lubeck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Straelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Bayreuth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Kaan-Marienborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	SV Rodinghausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Kickers Offenbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
43	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-6	0
44	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-8	0
45	Neustrelitz	1	0	0	1	-8	0
46	Einheit Wernigerode	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgarter Kickers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	VfB Lubeck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Straelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Bayreuth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Kaan-Marienborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	SV Rodinghausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Kickers Offenbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
20	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-6	0
21	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-8	0
22	Neustrelitz	1	0	0	1	-8	0
23	Einheit Wernigerode	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+10	3
2	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waldhof Mannheim Holstein Kiel

30′

🟨 Marco Komenda

32′

🟨 Philipp Sander

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 M. Schulz

↦ P. Sander

Bentley Baxter Bahn 🟨

55′

65′

🟨 Jann-Fiete Arp

69′

🔁 M. Obuz

↦ J. Arp

D. Kother 🔁

↦ B. Ekincier

78′

83′

🔁 P. Erras

↦ J. Korb

83′

🔁 L. Wolf

↦ F. Porath

P. Sohm 🔁

↦ D. Martinović

90′

J. Dörfler 🔁

↦ B. Taz

91′

🟨 Lucas Wolf

96′

🔁 K. Okyere Wriedt

↦ B. Pichler

F. Wagner 🔁

↦ M. Höger

105′

111′

🟨 Kwasi Okyere Wriedt

1–0 B. Bahn ⚽

121′

122′

⚽ P. Erras 1–1

2–1 A. Rossipal ⚽

123′

124′

⚽ M. Komenda 2–2

3–2 S. Russo ⚽

125′

126′

❌ M. Schulz

penalty missed

4–2 P. Sohm ⚽

127′

128′

⚽ K. Okyere Wriedt 4–3

5–3 F. Wagner ⚽

129′

Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Waldhof Mannheim

4-2-3-1

1 M. Behrens G

3 J. Riedel D

27 G. Gohlke D

5 M. Seegert D

A. Rossipal D

S. Russo M

37 M. Höger M

17 B. Ekincier M

9 B. Bahn M

B. Taz M

11 D. Martinović F

Bench (9)

7 D. Kother

16 J. Dörfler

10 P. Sohm

8 F. Wagner

4 A. Małachowski

2 N. Sommer

22 M. Winkler

15 M. Karbstein

23 J. Bartels

Coach: C. Neidhart

Holstein Kiel

4-2-3-1

T. Schreiber G

23 J. Korb D

T. Becker D

3 M. Komenda D

15 J. van den Bergh D

8 A. Mühling M

P. Sander M

J. Arp M

27 F. Porath M

F. Reese M

B. Pichler F

Bench (9)

25 M. Schulz

30 M. Obuz

4 P. Erras

26 L. Wolf

18 K. Okyere Wriedt

19 S. Lorenz

31 F. Bartels

2 M. Kirkeskov

21 T. Dähne

Coach: M. Rapp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,7 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

25,4 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Waldhof Mannheim

Holstein Kiel

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee