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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Stefanski

Rakow

T S S S S

3–2

Full-time

Stal Mielec

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

5 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 10. · Stal Mielec 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cracovia	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Wisla Plock	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Stal Mielec	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Legia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Zaglebie	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Widzew Lodz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Jagiellonia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Warta Poznan	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Radomiak Radom	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Legnica	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Piast Gliwice	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cracovia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Zaglebie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Radomiak Radom	2	0	1	1	-3	1
12	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Warta Poznan	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Stal Mielec	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Widzew Lodz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Radomiak Radom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Legnica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Legia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
12	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.