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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
Widzew Lodz
T S
2–3
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 3 3 0 0 +9 9
2 Cracovia 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Rakow 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Pogon Szczecin 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Stal Mielec 3 1 1 1 +1 4
6 Slask Wroclaw 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Legia 3 1 1 1 -1 4
8 Zaglebie 3 1 1 1 -1 4
9 Widzew Lodz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Gornik Zabrze 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Jagiellonia 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Warta Poznan 3 1 0 2 -4 3
13 Radomiak Radom 3 0 2 1 -3 2
14 Legnica 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Korona Kielce 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Piast Gliwice 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Lech Poznan 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Widzew Lodz Lechia Gdansk
5′
⚽ M. Gajos 0–1
K. Tobers
1–1 B. Pawłowski ⚽
12′
30′
🟨 Maciej Gajos
40′
⚽ L. Zwoliński 1–2
Half-time 1–2
Jordi Sánchez 🔁
↦ D. Kun
62′
K. Danielak 🔁
↦ P. Zieliński
62′
Jordi Sánchez 🟨
70′
71′
🟨 Michał Nalepa
J. Shehu 🔁
↦ J. Letniowski
71′
2–2 Jordi Sánchez ⚽
Fábio Nunes
71′
79′
🟨 Christian Clemens
M. Kreuzriegler 🔁
↦ Fábio Nunes
81′
J. Sypek 🔁
↦ E. Terpiłowski
81′
81′
🔁 K. Sezonienko
↦ Conrado
81′
🔁 F. Koperski
↦ C. Clemens
85′
🔁 J. Kubicki
↦ K. Tobers
85′
⚽ Flávio Paixão 2–3
R. Pietrzak
88′
🔁 J. Biegański
↦ Flávio Paixão
88′
🔁 Ł. Zjawiński
↦ L. Zwoliński
92′
🟨 Michał Buchalik
Juljan Shehu 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Widzew Lodz

3-4-3
26 H. Ravas G
95 P. Stępiński D
3 B. Czorbadżijski D
4 M. Żyro D
23 P. Zieliński M
22 D. Kun M
25 M. Hanousek M
92 Fábio Nunes M
13 E. Terpiłowski F
19 B. Pawłowski F
10 J. Letniowski F
Bench (9)
9 Jordi Sánchez
8 K. Danielak
6 J. Shehu
33 M. Kreuzriegler
21 J. Sypek
5 S. Szota
77 K. Hansen
20 P. Lipski
72 V. Lytvynenko

Coach: J. Niedźwiedź

Lechia Gdansk

4-4-2
1 M. Buchalik G
29 D. Stec D
25 M. Nalepa D
23 M. Maloča D
2 R. Pietrzak D
17 C. Clemens M
7 M. Gajos M
4 K. Tobers M
20 Conrado M
9 L. Zwoliński F
28 Flávio Paixão F
Bench (9)
79 K. Sezonienko
72 F. Koperski
6 J. Kubicki
69 J. Biegański
27 Ł. Zjawiński
11 D. Piła
88 J. Kałuziński
83 A. Mikułko
10 B. Diabaté

Coach: T. Kaczmarek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Marciniak · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.