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DFB-Pokal

Referee: R Hartmann

FC Ingolstadt 04

T U U U U

0–3

Full-time

Darmstadt

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Ingolstadt 04 Darmstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

37% Possession 63%

8 Shots 26

3 Shots on target 13

4 Blocked shots 2

10 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

4 Offside 5

16 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+10	3
2	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Stuttgarter Kickers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	VfB Lubeck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Braunschweig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Straelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Bayreuth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Kaan-Marienborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	SV Rodinghausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Kickers Offenbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
49	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-6	0
50	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-8	0
51	Neustrelitz	1	0	0	1	-8	0
52	Einheit Wernigerode	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgarter Kickers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	VfB Lubeck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Braunschweig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Straelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Bayreuth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Kaan-Marienborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	SV Rodinghausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Kickers Offenbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
21	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-4	0
22	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
23	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-6	0
24	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-8	0
25	Neustrelitz	1	0	0	1	-8	0
26	Einheit Wernigerode	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+10	3
2	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.