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Bundesliga

Referee: Manuel Gräfe

FC Ingolstadt 04

T U T S S

3–2

Full-time

Darmstadt

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Ingolstadt 04 Darmstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,5

This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 21%

26%

15%

Points per game

0,9

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

44%

41%

Both score Ø 45%

52%

37%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,0

0,6

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-1,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%

23 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 6

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match FC Ingolstadt 04 17. · Darmstadt 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	28	21	5	2	+56	68
2	RB Leipzig	28	18	4	6	+21	58
3	Hoffenheim	28	13	12	3	+23	51
4	Dortmund	28	14	8	6	+27	50
5	Hertha	28	13	4	11	+3	43
6	Freiburg	28	12	5	11	-11	41
7	FC Koln	28	10	10	8	+7	40
8	M'gladbach	28	11	6	11	-2	39
9	Ein Frankfurt	28	10	8	10	-2	38
10	Schalke 04	28	10	7	11	+5	37
11	Werder Bremen	28	10	6	12	-4	36
12	Leverkusen	28	10	5	13	-2	35
13	Hamburg	28	9	6	13	-23	33
14	Wolfsburg	28	8	6	14	-15	30
15	Mainz	28	8	5	15	-11	29
16	Augsburg	28	7	8	13	-19	29
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	27	7	4	16	-17	25
18	Darmstadt	27	4	3	20	-36	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	11	3	0	+42	36
2	RB Leipzig	14	11	1	2	+16	34
3	Hertha	14	11	1	2	+15	34
4	Dortmund	13	10	3	0	+25	33
5	Hoffenheim	14	9	5	0	+18	32
6	Schalke 04	15	8	3	4	+14	27
7	FC Koln	14	7	5	2	+9	26
8	Freiburg	14	8	1	5	-4	25
9	M'gladbach	14	7	3	4	+9	24
10	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	6	2	+6	24
11	Hamburg	14	7	3	4	-4	24
12	Werder Bremen	14	6	1	7	+3	19
13	Mainz	14	5	4	5	+2	19
14	Leverkusen	14	5	4	5	+2	19
15	Darmstadt	14	4	3	7	-9	15
16	Wolfsburg	14	4	2	8	-7	14
17	Augsburg	14	3	5	6	-8	14
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	13	3	3	7	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	2	2	+14	32
2	RB Leipzig	14	7	3	4	+5	24
3	Hoffenheim	14	4	7	3	+5	19
4	Dortmund	15	4	5	6	+2	17
5	Werder Bremen	14	4	5	5	-7	17
6	Leverkusen	14	5	1	8	-4	16
7	Freiburg	14	4	4	6	-7	16
8	Wolfsburg	14	4	4	6	-8	16
9	M'gladbach	14	4	3	7	-11	15
10	Augsburg	14	4	3	7	-11	15
11	FC Koln	14	3	5	6	-2	14
12	Ein Frankfurt	14	4	2	8	-8	14
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	14	4	1	9	-9	13
14	Schalke 04	13	2	4	7	-9	10
15	Mainz	14	3	1	10	-13	10
16	Hertha	14	2	3	9	-12	9
17	Hamburg	14	2	3	9	-19	9
18	Darmstadt	13	0	0	13	-27	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.