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DFB-Pokal
Referee: B Dankert
Ein Frankfurt
U U T T U
2–0
Full-time
Union Berlin
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DFB-Pokal · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
3,3
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 3. · Union Berlin 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 +12 9
3 Ein Frankfurt 3 3 0 0 +8 9
4 Stuttgart 3 3 0 0 +8 9
5 Dortmund 3 3 0 0 +6 9
6 Freiburg 3 3 0 0 +4 9
7 Union Berlin 3 3 0 0 +4 9
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 3 2 1 0 +6 7
9 Nurnberg 3 2 1 0 +3 7
10 Hoffenheim 3 2 0 1 +4 6
11 Bochum 3 2 0 1 +3 6
12 Darmstadt 3 2 0 1 +2 6
13 Mainz 3 2 0 1 +2 6
14 Wolfsburg 3 2 0 1 +1 6
15 Paderborn 3 1 1 1 +9 4
16 Karlsruhe 2 1 1 0 +8 4
17 Sandhausen 3 1 1 1 +2 4
18 Werder Bremen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
19 M'gladbach 2 1 0 1 +7 3
20 Augsburg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Hannover 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Bielefeld 2 1 0 1 +0 3
24 St Pauli 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Stuttgarter Kickers 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Hamburg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
29 VfB Lubeck 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 FC Koln 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Holstein Kiel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Braunschweig 2 0 1 1 -1 1
34 Waldhof Mannheim 2 0 1 1 -1 1
35 Regensburg 2 0 1 1 -3 1
36 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Straelen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Kaiserslautern 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Chemnitzer FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Dresden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Bayreuth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Kaan-Marienborn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Illertissen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 SV Rodinghausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Kickers Offenbach 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -3 0
52 TSV 1860 Munich 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 Viktoria Berlin 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 Magdeburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
56 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
57 BW Lohne 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 Bremer Sv 1 0 0 1 -5 0
59 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 0 1 -5 0
60 FV Engers 07 1 0 0 1 -6 0
61 Oberachern 1 0 0 1 -8 0
62 Neustrelitz 1 0 0 1 -8 0
63 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
64 Einheit Wernigerode 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Union Berlin
1–0 R. Kolo Muani
M. Götze
11′
2–0 R. Kolo Muani
M. Götze
12′
Rafael Santos Borré ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
21′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 S. Michel
↦ J. Haberer
46′
🔁 M. Thorsby
↦ P. Seguin
46′
🔁 P. Jaeckel
↦ Diogo Leite
60′
🔁 J. Siebatcheu
↦ K. Behrens
D. Kamada 🔁
↦ R. Borré
67′
76′
🔁 J. Leweling
↦ S. Becker
L. Alario 🔁
↦ S. Rode
78′
E. Ebimbe 🔁
↦ Aurélio Buta
78′
P. Aaronson 🔁
↦ R. Kolo Muani
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
6 K. Jakić D
20 M. Hasebe D
2 E. Ndicka D
24 Aurélio Buta M
17 S. Rode M
8 D. Sow M
32 P. Max M
19 R. Borré F
27 M. Götze F
9 R. Kolo Muani F
Bench (9)
15 D. Kamada
21 L. Alario
26 E. Ebimbe
30 P. Aaronson
36 A. Knauff
40 D. Ramaj
22 T. Chandler
11 F. Alidou
35 Tuta

Coach: O. Glasner

Union Berlin

3-5-2
37 L. Grill G
5 D. Doekhi D
31 R. Knoche D
4 Diogo Leite D
28 C. Trimmel M
14 P. Seguin M
8 R. Khedira M
19 J. Haberer M
18 J. Juranović M
27 S. Becker F
17 K. Behrens F
Bench (9)
11 S. Michel
2 M. Thorsby
3 P. Jaeckel
45 J. Siebatcheu
40 J. Leweling
12 J. Jensen
20 A. Laïdouni
32 M. Pantović
26 J. Roussillon

Coach: U. Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Dankert · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.